Bears vs Lions Match Player Stats | Week 13 Thursday 2024

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Bears vs Lions Match Player Stats | Week 13 Thursday 2024

CHI @ DET

Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions Week 13Bears vs LionsBears vs LionsBears vs LionsBears vs LionsBears vs LionsBears vs Lions

Todays Matchup Details

Week 13 Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions
Todays Game is on Thursday, November 28th
28/11/24 12:30:00 PM EST Kickoff

Key Match Player Stats to this Game

This game will be played in a dome,—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

In this week’s contest, Amon-Ra St. Brown is anticipated by the projection model to rank in the 92nd percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.0 targets.

With a sizeable 29.2% Target% (97th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown places as one of the WRs with the highest volume in the NFL.

Amon-Ra St. Brown’s possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 75.1% to 84.4%.

Amon-Ra St. Brown is positioned as one of the most efficient receivers in the league, averaging a stellar 9.93 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 82nd percentile when it comes to WRs.

The Bears are an enormous 10.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Bears as the 4th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 62.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chicago Bears this year (a colossal 61.3 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Detroit Lions defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.

Our trusted projections expect D’Andre Swift to notch 13.1 rush attempts this week, on balance, putting him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.

Among all running backs, D’Andre Swift ranks in the 89th percentile for carries this year, taking on 58.8% of the workload in his offense’s running game.

D’Andre Swift has grinded out 61.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest marks in the league among running backs (80th percentile).

The predictive model expects Sam LaPorta to accrue 4.2 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 79th percentile among TEs.

Sam LaPorta’s ball-catching skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 71.7% to 84.6%.

Sam LaPorta’s pass-catching effectiveness has been refined this year, averaging 12.08 adjusted yards-per-target compared to just 7.13 figure last year.

Sam LaPorta’s talent in picking up extra yardage have been refined this year, accumulating 7.04 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 3.99 rate last year.

With an outstanding record of 245.0 adjusted passing yards per game (75th percentile), Jared Goff has been as one of the leading QBs in the NFL this year.

Jared Goff’s throwing accuracy has been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 66.3% to 73.0%.

Jared Goff’s pass-game effectiveness has been refined this year, accumulating 9.07 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a mere 7.53 figure last year.

This year, the anemic Bears defense has given up the 3rd-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing offenses: a colossal 5.43 YAC.

Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game

The Lions are a big 10.5-point favorite in this week’s game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

The model projects the Lions as the 8th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The model projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace among all games this week, averaging 26.57 seconds per play based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game versus the Bears defense this year: 9th-fewest in the NFL.

Amon-Ra St. Brown has notched quite a few less air yards this year (61.0 per game) than he did last year (76.0 per game).

The leading projections forecast the Bears to call the 6th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.7 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

Cole Kmet’s 13.7% Target% this year represents a substantial drop-off in his air attack utilization over last year’s 20.4% mark.

Cole Kmet’s 40.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season signifies a significant decrease in his receiving skills over last season’s 48.0 rate.

The Lions defense has allowed the 2nd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 38.0) vs. tight ends this year.

This year, the strong Detroit Lions defense has given up a mere 66.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 3rd-smallest rate in the league.

Keenan Allen has been a much smaller piece of his team’s pass game this season (25.0% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (31.0%).

Keenan Allen has put up significantly fewer air yards this year (66.0 per game) than he did last year (106.0 per game).

Keenan Allen has compiled quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (36.0) this year than he did last year (98.0).

Keenan Allen’s ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 73.1% to 57.6%.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bears to run on 37.2% of their downs: the 4th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

This year, the stout Lions run defense has allowed a mere 90.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.

Sam LaPorta has accrued far fewer air yards this season (26.0 per game) than he did last season (53.0 per game).

This year, the imposing Lions defense has conceded a puny 65.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 3rd-smallest rate in football.

This year, the formidable Detroit Lions defense has yielded the least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing offenses: a meager 6.8 yards.

As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Detroit’s collection of safeties has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the best in the league.

Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 5th-fewest yards in the NFL (just 207.0 adjusted yards per game) versus the Bears defense this year.

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