Lions vs Bears Match Player Stats | Week 18 Sunday 2026

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DET @ CHI

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 18 Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears
Todays Game is on Sunday, January 4th
04/01/26 16:25:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Detroit Lions Game Today

At a -10.5-point disadvantage, the Lions are massive underdogs in this week’s contest, indicating much more of an emphasis on passing than their typical approach.

Our trusted projections expect the Lions as the 6th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 134.9 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

In this week’s game, Jared Goff is expected by the model to total the 3rd-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 37.9.,Jared Goff ranks as one of the top QBs in the league this year, averaging an excellent 247.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 92nd percentile.

The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Ben Johnson, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 1.1% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.9 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The Bears have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 61.4 plays per game.

The Bears offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Negatives with the Chicago Bears Game Today

Opposing QBs have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: 7th-fewest in football.

In regards to pass protection (and the impact it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Lions grades out as the 8th-worst in football this year.

Jared Goff’s 67.4% Adjusted Completion% this year shows an impressive decline in his passing precision over last year’s 72.0% rate.

The Bears are a 3-point favorite in this week’s game, likely leading to a running game script.

The model projects the Bears to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 53.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 4th-lowest rate in the league vs. the Lions defense this year (66.3% Adjusted Completion%).

When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Detroit’s unit has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 4th-best in football.

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