NE @ CIN




Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, November 23rd
23/11/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the New England Patriots Game Today
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Patriots are predicted by the model to run 66.4 offensive plays in this game: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.
In this game, Hunter Henry is expected by the model to rank in the 78th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.0 targets.
In regards to air yards, Hunter Henry ranks in the lofty 90th percentile among tight ends this year, totaling a whopping 38.0 per game.
When talking about pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Patriots profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year.
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has yielded the most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (83.0) versus TEs this year.
This year, the feeble Cincinnati Bengals defense has yielded a massive 270.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing teams: the 2nd-most in the league.
The Bengals pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency this year, surrendering 8.78 adjusted yards-per-target: the 2nd-most in football.
When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Cincinnati’s collection of LBs has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in football.
In this week’s game, Stefon Diggs is forecasted by the projections to place in the 87th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.8 targets.
Stefon Diggs ranks as one of the top wide receivers in the league this year, averaging a stellar 59.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 91st percentile.
This year, the anemic Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has been torched for a massive 67.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 8th-highest rate in football.
Negatives with the Cincinnati Bengals Game Today
With a 8-point advantage, the Patriots are a massive favorite in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on rushing than their usual game plan.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 52.7% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest clip among all teams this week.
Hunter Henry’s 35.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 44.2.
Hunter Henry has notched substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (37.0) this season than he did last season (44.0).
Hunter Henry’s 70.7% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a meaningful diminishment in his pass-catching proficiency over last season’s 75.1% figure.
Stefon Diggs’s 70.7% Route Participation Rate this year shows a material decline in his passing offense workload over last year’s 83.6% figure.
Stefon Diggs has accrued far fewer air yards this year (58.0 per game) than he did last year (64.0 per game).
Stefon Diggs’s talent in picking up extra yardage have declined this year, notching just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.89 mark last year.
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