
LA @ CHI







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 29th
29/09/24 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
Our trusted projections expect the Chicago Bears to call the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The 5th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Bears since the start of last season (a monstrous 60.3 per game on average).
The Los Angeles Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (34.6 per game) since the start of last season.
The Los Angeles cornerbacks profile as the worst group of CBs in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.
The projections expect the Rams to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 59.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to see 131.2 plays on offense called: the 4th-highest number among all games this week.
The Los Angeles Rams have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a staggering 59.7 plays per game.
The projections expect Matthew Stafford to attempt 35.4 passes in this contest, on balance: the 8th-most among all quarterbacks.
The Bears defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (36.4 per game) since the start of last season.
In this game, D.J. Moore is predicted by the projections to slot into the 84th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.3 targets.
D.J. Moore comes in as one of the best wide receivers in the league since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 67.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 95th percentile.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chicago Bears to run on 44.2% of their chances: the 10th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
With an exceptional rate of 55.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (82nd percentile), D’Andre Swift has been among the top RBs in the NFL since the start of last season.
This year, the imposing Rams run defense has given up a paltry 4.95 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing ground game: the 23rd-best rate in the NFL.
In this week’s contest, Kyren Williams is predicted by the model to find himself in the 99th percentile when it comes to running backs with 20.7 carries.
After accounting for 72.9% of his offense’s rushing play calls last season, Kyren Williams has been more involved in the running game this season, currently sitting at 87.9%.
Colby Parkinson is positioned as one of the most effective pass-catchers in football among tight ends, averaging a terrific 9.23 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 100th percentile.
Demarcus Robinson comes in as one of the most effective pass-catchers in the league, averaging an impressive 10.05 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 87th percentile among wide receivers.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears to be the 6th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 55.8% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
As it relates to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Bears grades out as the 10th-worst in football since the start of last season.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 4th-lowest level in the NFL versus the Rams defense since the start of last season (65.1% Adjusted Completion%).
Since the start of last season, the daunting Los Angeles Rams defense has conceded the 3rd-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing offenses: a meager 4.7 YAC.
Los Angeles’s passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially increased (and running stats reduced) in light of playing the 6th-most “low wind” (4-mph or less) games in the league. We ought to be able to count on some correction with windier weather in this game.
Matthew Stafford’s throwing efficiency has declined this season, notching just 6.13 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 7.51 mark last season.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has exhibited good efficiency since the start of last season, surrendering 7.33 adjusted yards-per-target: the 10th-fewest in football.
As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Chicago’s unit has been outstanding since the start of last season, grading out as the 10th-best in the NFL.
D.J. Moore’s 55.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 76.9.
The Rams pass defense has conceded the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (57.6%) to wideouts since the start of last season (57.6%).
Since the start of last season, the formidable Los Angeles Rams pass defense has conceded the 6th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing wide receivers: a puny 3.9 YAC.
While D’Andre Swift has garnered 54.7% of his offense’s carries in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much smaller part of Chicago’s rushing attack in this week’s contest at 39.2%.
D’Andre Swift’s rushing effectiveness has declined this season, averaging just 1.56 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.33 rate last season.
D’Andre Swift rates as one of the worst RBs in the league at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging just 1.70 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 5th percentile.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to run on 40.2% of their downs: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Kyren Williams’s ground efficiency has declined this year, averaging just 3.47 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 5.20 figure last year.
Kyren Williams’s 2.13 yards-after-contact this year reflects a meaningful decrease in his rushing ability over last year’s 3.27 rate.
Since the start of last season, the imposing Chicago Bears run defense has given up a feeble 92.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 3rd-fewest in football.
Since the start of last season, the tough Chicago Bears defense has given up the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing TEs: a paltry 6.6 yards.
Since the start of last season, the strong Bears pass defense has allowed the least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing TEs: a measly 3.6 YAC.
Since the start of last season, the stout Bears defense has given up a measly 130.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wideouts: the 8th-fewest in football.
The Bears pass defense has displayed strong efficiency vs. wideouts since the start of last season, giving up 7.46 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-fewest in football.
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