Falcons vs Patriots Match Player Stats | Week 9 Sunday 2025

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ATL @ NE

Atlanta Falcons at New England Patriots Week 9Falcons vs PatriotsFalcons vs PatriotsFalcons vs PatriotsFalcons vs PatriotsFalcons vs PatriotsFalcons vs Patriots

Todays Matchup Details

Week 9 Atlanta Falcons at New England Patriots
Todays Game is on Sunday, November 2nd
02/11/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Atlanta Falcons Game Today

A throwing game script is indicated by the Falcons being a -5.5-point underdog in this week’s game.

The Falcons have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.0 plays per game.

Kyle Pitts’s 91.9% Route% this year conveys a meaningful progression in his passing game utilization over last year’s 75.7% mark.

In this week’s contest, Kyle Pitts is forecasted by the projections to slot into the 95th percentile among TEs with 6.7 targets.

The Patriots pass defense has allowed the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (82%) vs. TEs this year (82.0%).

This week, Hunter Henry is anticipated by the projections to finish in the 78th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.8 targets.

Hunter Henry has put up a monstrous 38.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile among TEs.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Patriots ranks as the 2nd-best in football this year.

With a terrific 38.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (83rd percentile) this year, Hunter Henry stands as one of the top tight ends in the pass game in the NFL.

Hunter Henry’s pass-catching efficiency has been refined this season, averaging 10.01 adjusted yards-per-target compared to just 7.86 mark last season.

As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Atlanta’s collection of CBs has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 5th-worst in the league.

Our trusted projections expect the Falcons to be the 4th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 42.2% run rate.

The projections expect Bijan Robinson to total 16.7 carries in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile among RBs.

Bijan Robinson has been given 59.4% of his offense’s carries this year, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Bijan Robinson has made strides in picking up extra rushing yardage this year, accumulating 4.05 yards-after-contact compared to a 3.03 figure last year.

This week, Drake London is projected by the predictive model to find himself in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers with 8.9 targets.

Drake London places in the 97th percentile for WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) with a colossal 72.2 figure this year.

This year, the porous Patriots pass defense has yielded a colossal 68.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 7th-highest rate in the NFL.

The predictive model expects Stefon Diggs to total 7.0 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 76th percentile among wideouts.

With a terrific 56.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (85th percentile) this year, Stefon Diggs has been as one of the best wide receivers in the NFL in football.

Stefon Diggs’s sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 73.7% to 86.3%.

Stefon Diggs’s 10.3 adjusted yards per target this season conveys a significant improvement in his pass-catching talent over last season’s 7.8 rate.

Negatives with the New England Patriots Game Today

At the moment, the 4th-least pass-heavy offense in football (57.8% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Atlanta Falcons.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Falcons are anticipated by our trusted projection set to call only 61.9 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.

Kyle Pitts’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season shows an impressive drop-off in his effectiveness in space over last season’s 5.0% figure.

When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, New England’s collection of LBs has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 9th-best in the league.

The Patriots are a 5.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 53.0% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to have just 126.3 plays on offense run: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.

Opposing teams teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Atlanta Falcons, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 27.0 per game) this year.

Hunter Henry’s 35.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 44.2.

Opposing QBs have thrown for the 2nd-fewest yards in football (just 162.0 adjusted yards per game) vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year.

Bijan Robinson has rushed for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (63.0) this year than he did last year (81.0).

Opposing squads have rushed for the fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 74.0 per game) vs. the New England Patriots defense this year.

The New England Patriots safeties profile as the 4th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

After accumulating 102.0 air yards per game last year, Drake London has regressed heavily this year, currently averaging 92.0 per game.

Drake London’s 64.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season marks a noteworthy decrease in his pass-catching proficiency over last season’s 80.0 mark.

Drake London’s receiving efficiency has diminished this year, accumulating a mere 7.95 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 9.11 mark last year.

Stefon Diggs’s 67.5% Route Participation Rate this season indicates a significant decrease in his passing offense workload over last season’s 83.6% figure.

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