CAR @ NE



Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 28th
28/09/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the Carolina Panthers Game Today
The New England Patriots have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 4.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
Since the start of last season, the porous Panthers defense has been torched for the 7th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to the opposing side: a massive 8.13 yards.
When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Carolina’s LB corps has been easily exploitable since the start of last season, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the league.
A passing game script is indicated by the Panthers being a -5.5-point underdog in this week’s game.
In registering a whopping 29.3 pass attempts per game this year, Bryce Young slots in among the top quarterbacks in football (75th percentile) by this measure.
Since the start of last season, the deficient Patriots defense has yielded the 9th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing squads: a massive 8.07 yards.
When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, New England’s group of CBs has been very bad since the start of last season, profiling as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.
Negatives with the New England Patriots Game Today
This game’s line implies a rushing game script for the Patriots, who are favored by 5.5 points.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Patriots to pass on 53.7% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see just 125.3 total plays run: the 4th-lowest number among all games this week.
Opposing QBs teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Panthers, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 31.3 per game) since the start of last season.
When talking about pocket protection (and the impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Patriots grades out as the 5th-worst in football since the start of last season.
Our trusted projections expect the Panthers to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Panthers have called the fewest plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 55.0 plays per game.
Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the New England Patriots, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 31.3 per game) since the start of last season.
With a poor 59.8% Adjusted Completion% (13th percentile) this year, Bryce Young places as one of the least accurate quarterbacks in the league.
Bryce Young checks in as one of the least effective QBs in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 5.66 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the lowly 16th percentile.
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