Bears vs Lions Match Player Stats | Week 2 Sunday 2025

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CHI @ DET

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 2 Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 14th
14/09/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Chicago Bears Game Today

The model projects the Chicago Bears offensive strategy to tilt 1.1% more towards the passing game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Ben Johnson now calling the plays.

This game’s spread indicates a throwing game script for the Bears, who are -6-point underdogs.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to pass on 60.5% of their chances: the 6th-highest clip among all teams this week.

The Chicago Bears have run the 8th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 59.0 plays per game.

The Detroit Lions defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (35.1 per game) since the start of last season.

The Lions are a 6-point favorite in this game, likely creating a running game script.

The Lions rank as the 7th-most run-centric team in football (context-neutralized) this year with a 43.0% run rate.

Detroit’s passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially increased (and running stats reduced) due to playing the most “low wind” (4-mph or less) games in football. We ought to be able to expect some regression with windier conditions in this week’s contest.

Jahmyr Gibbs has grinded out 83.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in the league when it comes to running backs (96th percentile).

Since the start of last season, the feeble Bears run defense has been gouged for a colossal 140.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

The leading projections forecast Amon-Ra St. Brown to notch 7.4 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to WRs.

Amon-Ra St. Brown has been heavily involved in his team’s passing attack, posting a Target Share of 26.2% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

In regards to air yards, Amon-Ra St. Brown ranks in the towering 78th percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, totaling a massive 66.0 per game.

With an exceptional 77.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (95th percentile) since the start of last season, Amon-Ra St. Brown places among the best WRs in the league in the NFL.

With a terrific 83.6% Adjusted Completion Rate (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Amon-Ra St. Brown has been as one of the best possession receivers in football when it comes to wide receivers.

With an elite 80.5% Route Participation% (94th percentile) since the start of last season, Sam LaPorta ranks as one of the TEs with the biggest workloads in football.

In this week’s contest, Sam LaPorta is anticipated by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 95th percentile among TEs with 6.3 targets.

Sam LaPorta has accumulated a colossal 41.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 92nd percentile among tight ends.

With an outstanding 47.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (94th percentile) since the start of last season, Sam LaPorta ranks as one of the top pass-catching TEs in football.

Sam LaPorta comes in as one of the most effective pass-catchers in football among TEs, averaging a terrific 9.98 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 86th percentile.

With an impressive rate of 265.0 adjusted passing yards per game (95th percentile), Jared Goff rates as one of the leading passers in football since the start of last season.

Jared Goff’s 82.4% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a meaningful progression in his passing accuracy over last year’s 72.0% mark.

With a fantastic 8.26 adjusted yards-per-target (94th percentile) since the start of last season, Jared Goff has been among the most effective QBs in the league.

The Chicago Bears pass defense has shown weak efficiency since the start of last season, allowing 8.37 adjusted yards-per-target: the 3rd-most in football.

The Bears defense has been vulnerable when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season: the most in the NFL.

In this contest, D’Andre Swift is predicted by our trusted projection set to slot into the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.3 rush attempts.

D’Andre Swift has garnered 62.3% of his offense’s run game usage since the start of last season, placing him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs.

With a stellar tally of 54.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (80th percentile), D’Andre Swift places as one of the top RBs in the NFL since the start of last season.

Negatives with the Detroit Lions Game Today

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are predicted by our trusted projection set to run just 62.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.

Since the start of last season, the formidable Lions defense has yielded a mere 67.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 4th-lowest rate in football.

The Lions safeties rank as the best group of safeties in football since the start of last season in defending receivers.

Right now, the 5th-most sluggish paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Lions.

When it comes to the linebackers’ role in run defense, Chicago’s collection of LBs has been terrific since the start of last season, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Detroit Lions to pass on 57.2% of their plays: the 11th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 29.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Bears defense since the start of last season: 6th-fewest in the NFL.

With a feeble 7.8 adjusted yards per target (24th percentile) since the start of last season, DJ Moore has been as one of the weakest WRs in the league in football.

DJ Moore grades out as one of the worst wideouts in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 1st percentile.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears to run on 39.5% of their plays: the 6th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

The opposing side have rushed for the 4th-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 95.0 per game) vs. the Lions defense since the start of last season.

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