Cowboys vs Lions Match Player Stats | Week 14 Thursday 2025

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DAL @ DET

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 14 Dallas Cowboys at Detroit Lions
Todays Game is on Thursday, December 4th
04/12/25 20:15:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Dallas Cowboys Game Today

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.7 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The 9th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a massive 58.8 per game on average).

Our trusted projections expect Javonte Williams to earn 16.4 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on balance, placing him in the 90th percentile when it comes to running backs.

After comprising 32.9% of his offense’s rush attempts last year, Javonte Williams has been called on more in the ground game this year, currently accounting for 67.8%.

Javonte Williams has rushed for significantly more adjusted yards per game (82.0) this season than he did last season (31.0).

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.7 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game against the Cowboys defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.

With an excellent 69.8% Adjusted Completion% (94th percentile) this year, Jared Goff rates as one of the most accurate QBs in the NFL.

Jared Goff is positioned as one of the most effective quarterbacks in the league this year, averaging an exceptional 8.06 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the 90th percentile.

The model projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 63.0% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 9th-most run-oriented team in the league (41.4% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Detroit Lions.

Jahmyr Gibbs has averaged 81.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest marks in the NFL among RBs (97th percentile).

This year, the tough Cowboys run defense has allowed a puny 5.12 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing run game: the 28th-lowest rate in the NFL.

Dak Prescott checks in as one of the best passers in the league this year, averaging an outstanding 266.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 97th percentile.

Negatives with the Detroit Lions Game Today

A passing game script is implied by the Cowboys being a -3-point underdog in this game.

The model projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 3rd-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 37.0% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Detroit Lions defense owns the 8th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, conceding just 4.05 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

As it relates to the linebackers’ role in defending against the run, Detroit’s unit has been phenomenal this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the league.

This week’s spread suggests a running game script for the Lions, who are favored by 3 points.

The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 58.6% pass rate.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Lions profiles as the 9th-worst in football this year.

Jared Goff’s 234.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season represents a material diminishment in his throwing proficiency over last season’s 266.0 rate.

The Cowboys offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

With a subpar 6.2 adjusted yards per target (16th percentile) this year, Jake Ferguson stands among the bottom pass-game tight ends in football.

Jake Ferguson’s skills in generating extra yardage have worsened this year, accumulating a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 5.24 figure last year.

The Lions pass defense has allowed the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (67.5%) versus TEs this year (67.5%).

The Detroit Lions safeties rank as the 6th-best safety corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

George Pickens’s 61.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 71.0.

George Pickens’s ability to generate extra yardage has diminished this season, totaling just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 2.95 figure last season.

This year, the stout Detroit Lions defense has yielded a mere 62.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 8th-lowest rate in the league.

This year, the tough Lions defense has given up a meager 66.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 6th-smallest rate in the league.

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