Panthers at Commanders Match Player Stats | Week 7 Sunday 2024

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Panthers at Commanders Match Player Stats | Week 7 Sunday 2024

CAR @ WAS

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 7 Carolina Panthers at Washington Commanders
Todays Game is on Sunday, October 20th
20/10/24 16:05:00 PM EST Kickoff

Key Match Player Stats to this Game

In this week’s contest, Terry McLaurin is anticipated by the projections to secure a spot in the 85th percentile among wideouts with 7.6 targets.

After totaling 93.0 air yards per game last season, Terry McLaurin has seen marked improvement this season, currently averaging 107.0 per game.

Terry McLaurin’s 76.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 57.1.

The Washington Commanders O-line ranks as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

Terry McLaurin’s receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 61.1% to 66.9%.

At the present time, the 8th-most run-heavy team in the NFL (41.4% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Carolina Panthers.

The predictive model expects Chuba Hubbard to garner 18.6 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on balance, putting him in the 98th percentile among RBs.

Chuba Hubbard has been a more integral piece of his team’s ground game this season (65.6% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (52.0%).

Chuba Hubbard’s 79.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season signifies a material boost in his rushing proficiency over last season’s 53.0 mark.

This year, the fierce Commanders run defense has yielded a meager 5.04 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition’s run game: the 24th-best rate in football.

This week, Zach Ertz is anticipated by the model to place in the 87th percentile among tight ends with 4.8 targets.

Zach Ertz has totaled a whopping 41.0 air yards per game this year: 94th percentile among TEs.

Zach Ertz’s 39.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) grades out among the league leaders: 91st percentile for TEs.

Zach Ertz’s 38.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year marks a meaningful boost in his pass-catching talent over last year’s 27.0 mark.

In this contest, Diontae Johnson is projected by the predictive model to place in the 97th percentile among WRs with 10.1 targets.

With an impressive 27.8% Target Share (95th percentile) this year, Diontae Johnson rates as one of the wide receivers with the most usage in the league.

Diontae Johnson has posted quite a few more air yards this year (94.0 per game) than he did last year (86.0 per game).

Diontae Johnson is positioned as one of the best wide receivers in the game this year, averaging a terrific 58.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 82nd percentile.

Andy Dalton’s passing accuracy has improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 56.2% to 65.4%.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 10th-highest level in the league against the Commanders defense this year (71.4% Adjusted Completion%).

This year, the poor Commanders defense has been torched for the 8th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to the opposing side: a whopping 8.26 yards.

The Commanders cornerbacks grade out as the 3rd-worst unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

This year, the feeble Panthers defense has yielded the 4th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to the opposing side: a monstrous 8.58 yards.

The Carolina Panthers defense has struggled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.99 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 6th-most in football.

The Carolina Panthers safeties rank as the 6th-worst safety corps in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game

This week’s line suggests a rushing game script for the Commanders, who are favored by 3 points.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Washington Commanders to pass on 51.6% of their chances: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see only 127.2 total plays run: the 5th-fewest out of all the games this week.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Panthers, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 30.3 per game) this year.

Terry McLaurin’s ability to pick up extra yardage has declined this year, averaging a mere 2.48 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.20 rate last year.

This week’s spread suggests a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -3-point underdogs.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Carolina Panthers are expected by our trusted projection set to run just 63.0 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-fewest on the slate this week.

As it relates to the linebackers’ role in run defense, Washington’s group of LBs has been terrific this year, ranking as the 5th-best in the NFL.

With a poor 2.38 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (7th percentile) this year, Zach Ertz stands as one of the best pass-game tight ends in football in picking up extra yardage.

Right now, the 8th-least pass-focused team in the league (58.6% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Carolina Panthers.

Opposing teams have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game against the Commanders defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.

Diontae Johnson’s 54.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents a meaningful decline in his receiving talent over last season’s 61.3% rate.

Diontae Johnson’s receiving effectiveness has worsened this year, averaging just 6.46 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 8.41 figure last year.

Andy Dalton ranks as one of the least efficient quarterbacks in football this year, averaging a mere 6.45 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the lowly 19th percentile.

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