Packers vs Lions Match Player Stats | Week 14 Thursday 2024

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Packers vs Lions Match Player Stats | Week 14 Thursday 2024

GB @ DET

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 14 Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions
Todays Game is on Thursday, December 5th
05/12/24 20:15:00 PM EST Kickoff

Key Match Player Stats to this Game

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect Josh Jacobs to total 17.1 rush attempts in this game, on balance, placing him in the 94th percentile among RBs.

Josh Jacobs has rushed for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (82.0) this year than he did last year (63.0).

Josh Jacobs’s running efficiency has improved this season, accumulating 4.44 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a mere 3.49 rate last season.

Josh Jacobs’s 3.51 yards-after-contact this year illustrates a material boost in his running skills over last year’s 2.35 figure.

A running game script is implied by the Lions being a 3.5-point favorite in this game.

The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 9th-most run-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 41.0% run rate.

The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to call the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Jahmyr Gibbs has received 46.1% of his offense’s run game usage this year, putting him in the 81st percentile among RBs.

Jahmyr Gibbs’s 84.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season illustrates a significant progression in his running proficiency over last season’s 65.0 rate.

Our trusted projections expect the Green Bay Packers as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.8% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The Lions defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, tempting opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (38.2 per game) this year.

Jayden Reed rates as one of the top pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging an excellent 56.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 79th percentile.

Jordan Love checks in as one of the top QBs in the NFL this year, averaging a stellar 258.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 85th percentile.

The predictive model expects Amon-Ra St. Brown to notch 10.4 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 98th percentile among wideouts.

With a sizeable 28.4% Target% (97th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown places as one of the WRs with the highest volume in the league.

Amon-Ra St. Brown’s receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 75.1% to 83.4%.

Tucker Kraft grades out as one of the leading pass-game TEs this year, averaging a stellar 39.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 80th percentile.

In this game, Sam LaPorta is anticipated by the predictive model to find himself in the 86th percentile among tight ends with 5.3 targets.

Sam LaPorta’s 78.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this year marks a material gain in his receiving prowess over last year’s 71.7% mark.

The Green Bay Packers defense has conceded the 2nd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (68.0) to TEs this year.

Jared Goff profiles as one of the leading passers in the NFL this year, averaging an outstanding 247.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 78th percentile.

Jared Goff’s passing accuracy has been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 66.3% to 71.6%.

This year, the porous Packers defense has allowed a colossal 237.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing offenses: the 9th-most in the NFL.

Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game

This week’s line suggests a passing game script for the Packers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

The predictive model expects the Packers as the 8th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 38.2% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

After taking on 81.5% of his team’s rush attempts last year, Josh Jacobs has been less involved in the rushing attack this year, currently sitting at only 64.9%.

Opposing teams have run for the 4th-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 89.0 per game) against the Lions defense this year.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

This year, the feeble Packers run defense has been torched for a staggering 4.35 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing teams: the 25th-largest rate in the league.

Jayden Reed has compiled quite a few less air yards this year (40.0 per game) than he did last year (58.0 per game).

This year, the fierce Lions defense has allowed the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing WRs: a meager 7.2 yards.

The Detroit Lions safeties project as the best group of safeties in the league this year in defending receivers.

This year, the imposing Lions defense has conceded a feeble 63.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 2nd-best rate in the league.

The Detroit Lions pass defense has shown good efficiency this year, conceding 6.84 adjusted yards-per-target: the 2nd-fewest in the league.

Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 8th-least pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 59.0% pass rate.

After averaging 76.0 air yards per game last year, Amon-Ra St. Brown has seen a big decline this year, currently pacing 62.0 per game.

Amon-Ra St. Brown has notched quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (75.0) this year than he did last year (98.0).

The Packers defense has surrendered the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 128.0) versus WRs this year.

This year, the fierce Lions defense has given up a puny 35.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the best in football.

The Lions pass defense has allowed the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (63.9%) vs. tight ends this year (63.9%).

After averaging 53.0 air yards per game last year, Sam LaPorta has fallen off this year, now averaging 27.0 per game.

Sam LaPorta’s 30.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 45.9.

Sam LaPorta’s 36.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season indicates a noteable regression in his receiving prowess over last season’s 50.0 mark.

When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Green Bay’s safety corps has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the league.

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