
TEN @ DET





Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, October 27th
27/10/24 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
With a 11-point advantage, the Lions are a heavy favorite in this week’s contest, implying much more of a focus on rushing than their standard game plan.
The projections expect the Lions to be the 10th-most run-centric offense in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 40.9% run rate.
In this week’s game, Jahmyr Gibbs is expected by the predictive model to slot into the 78th percentile when it comes to RBs with 13.8 rush attempts.
Out of all RBs, Jahmyr Gibbs grades out in the 80th percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 46.2% of the workload in his offense’s rushing attack.
Jahmyr Gibbs’s 80.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year reflects an impressive growth in his running proficiency over last year’s 65.0 figure.
With an exceptional total of 261.0 adjusted passing yards per game (89th percentile), Jared Goff ranks among the best passers in the NFL this year.
Jared Goff’s throwing precision has gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 66.3% to 73.5%.
Jared Goff’s 9.00 adjusted yards-per-target this year reflects a material progression in his passing efficiency over last year’s 7.5% figure.
As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Tennessee’s group of CBs has been very bad this year, profiling as the 6th-worst in the NFL.
The model projects Amon-Ra St. Brown to garner 9.4 targets in this week’s contest, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile among WRs.
Amon-Ra St. Brown has been heavily involved in his team’s pass game, garnering a Target Share of 29.3% this year, which places him in the 97th percentile among WRs.
When it comes to air yards, Amon-Ra St. Brown ranks in the lofty 82nd percentile among wideouts this year, totaling a striking 72.0 per game.
Amon-Ra St. Brown grades out as one of the best possession receivers in football, catching an impressive 76.7% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 90th percentile among wide receivers.
In this week’s game, Sam LaPorta is predicted by the projections to slot into the 87th percentile among tight ends with 5.5 targets.
While Sam LaPorta has been responsible for 8.9% of his team’s targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more integral piece of Detroit’s passing offense in this game at 17.0%.
Sam LaPorta’s 93.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents an impressive growth in his receiving proficiency over last season’s 71.7% rate.
Sam LaPorta’s 13.3 adjusted yards per target this season marks a material progression in his pass-catching talent over last season’s 7.1 figure.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to have just 127.1 offensive plays called: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.
The Tennessee Titans defense has had the 5th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing just 3.93 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
As it relates to the defensive tackles’ role in run defense, Tennessee’s DT corps has been great this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in football.
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to pass on 55.2% of their chances: the 11th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Tennessee Titans, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 29.2 per game) this year.
This year, the imposing Tennessee Titans defense has yielded a measly 183.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing QBs: the 3rd-best in the league.
Amon-Ra St. Brown’s 74.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year illustrates a noteable decline in his receiving prowess over last year’s 98.0 rate.
Sam LaPorta has accrued far fewer air yards this season (18.0 per game) than he did last season (53.0 per game).
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