Steelers vs Lions Match Player Stats | Week 16 Sunday 2025

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PIT @ DET

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 16 Pittsburgh Steelers at Detroit Lions
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 21st
21/12/25 16:25:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Pittsburgh Steelers Game Today

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Lions are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 67.1 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Our trusted projections expect Jared Goff to throw 36.5 passes in this game, on balance: the 7th-most out of all QBs.

The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (35.6 per game) this year.

With a stellar rate of 244.0 adjusted passing yards per game (95th percentile), Jared Goff ranks as one of the leading passers in the NFL this year.

In this week’s game, Amon-Ra St. Brown is projected by the projections to finish in the 99th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 11.2 targets.

Amon-Ra St. Brown’s 33.3% Target% this season indicates a remarkable boost in his pass game workload over last season’s 27.1% rate.

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Steelers being a big -7-point underdog in this game.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 64.9% of their downs: the greatest frequency among all teams this week.

The projections expect this game to see the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 7th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (246.0 per game) against the Lions defense this year.

The Lions have been the 10th-most run-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) this year with a 42.0% run rate.

In this week’s game, Jahmyr Gibbs is forecasted by the projection model to place in the 86th percentile among running backs with 17.0 rush attempts.

Jahmyr Gibbs has been given 58.3% of his team’s rushing play calls this year, putting him in the 88th percentile among RBs.

Negatives with the Detroit Lions Game Today

This game’s spread indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Lions, who are a massive favorite by 7 points.

With a 58.0% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-least pass-focused team in the league has been the Detroit Lions.

When talking about pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Lions profiles as the 10th-worst in football this year.

Jared Goff’s passing precision has diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 72.0% to 68.9%.

When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Pittsburgh’s unit has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

Amon-Ra St. Brown’s possession skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 83.6% to 73.7%.

Amon-Ra St. Brown’s ability to grind out extra yardage has declined this year, accumulating a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.57 figure last year.

The Steelers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 47.1 plays per game.

Aaron Rodgers’s 169.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year conveys a material decrease in his throwing prowess over last year’s 237.0 figure.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 5th-lowest level in the NFL against the Detroit Lions defense this year (65.9% Adjusted Completion%).

Jahmyr Gibbs has run for many fewer adjusted yards per game (76.0) this year than he did last year (87.0).

The Steelers defensive ends rank as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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