Buccaneers vs Lions Match Player Stats | Week 7 Monday 2025

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TB @ DET

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 7 Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions
Todays Game is on Monday, October 20th
20/10/25 19:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers Game Today

The Buccaneers are a 5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 60.9% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Tampa Bay offensive line ranks as the 10th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

The model projects Rachaad White to garner 15.0 rush attempts in this week’s game, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among RBs.

While Rachaad White has garnered 34.0% of his team’s carries in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much less involved in Tampa Bay’s rushing attack in this game at 22.8%.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

Jared Goff’s 77.3% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys a remarkable progression in his throwing accuracy over last season’s 72.0% rate.

Jared Goff checks in as one of the best per-play quarterbacks in the NFL this year, averaging an exceptional 8.43 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the 91st percentile.

At the present time, the 4th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL (41.9% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Lions.

Jahmyr Gibbs has garnered 53.6% of his offense’s rushing play calls this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.

Negatives with the Detroit Lions Game Today

The projections expect this game to see the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 123.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Baker Mayfield’s 212.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season represents a substantial regression in his passing skills over last season’s 274.0 rate.

Baker Mayfield’s passing accuracy has diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 71.1% to 66.0%.

This year, the daunting Lions defense has conceded a measly 68.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 7th-lowest rate in the league.

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Detroit’s safety corps has been one of the most skilled this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 7th-least run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 39.1% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

This year, the formidable Detroit Lions run defense has surrendered a meager 94.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 8th-best in the league.

A rushing game script is suggested by the Lions being a 5-point favorite in this week’s game.

At the present time, the 4th-least pass-centric offense in football (58.1% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to have only 123.9 offensive plays called: the fewest on the slate this week.

In regards to pass protection (and the significance it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Detroit Lions profiles as the 9th-worst in football this year.

Jared Goff has passed for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (209.0) this season than he did last season (266.0).

Jahmyr Gibbs’s 61.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season reflects a noteworthy decrease in his running ability over last season’s 87.0 figure.

Jahmyr Gibbs’s 4.9 adjusted yards per carry this season conveys a significant decrease in his rushing prowess over last season’s 5.9 mark.

This year, the strong Buccaneers run defense has given up a puny 97.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 10th-fewest in the league.

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