
DET @ GB







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 7th
07/09/25 16:25:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the Detroit Lions Game Today
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to pass on 59.1% of their opportunities: the 9th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
The Detroit Lions defense has been a well-known pass funnel last year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (35.8 per game) last year.
The Green Bay O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the league last year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
Last year, the porous Detroit Lions defense has yielded a staggering 168.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wideouts: the most in football.
The 6th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Detroit Lions last year (a whopping 59.6 per game on average).
Our trusted projections expect Jared Goff to throw 35.1 passes this week, on balance: the 9th-most among all QBs.
Jared Goff checks in as one of the best QBs in the league last year, averaging a remarkable 266.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 92nd percentile.
With an exceptional 72.0% Adjusted Completion% (97th percentile) last year, Jared Goff has been as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the NFL.
Last year, the deficient Packers defense has surrendered a monstrous 72.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 10th-largest rate in the NFL.
The predictive model expects Josh Jacobs to garner 15.6 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile among RBs.
Josh Jacobs has received 63.7% of his offense’s rush attempts last year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
Josh Jacobs has averaged 79.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground last year, one of the largest marks in the NFL when it comes to running backs (94th percentile).
With an impressive 81.7% Route Participation% (92nd percentile) last year, Sam LaPorta stands as one of the tight ends with the most usage in football.
Our trusted projections expect Sam LaPorta to total 5.9 targets in this week’s game, on balance, ranking him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to tight ends.
Sam LaPorta checks in as one of the leading tight ends in the pass game last year, averaging an outstanding 45.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 91st percentile.
The Packers defense has surrendered the 2nd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (60.0) vs. TEs last year.
In this week’s contest, Jordan Love is projected by the projections to have the 10th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 35.0.,With a terrific 8.25 adjusted yards-per-target (91st percentile) last year, Jordan Love has been among the most effective passers in football.
This week, Jahmyr Gibbs is predicted by the predictive model to land in the 82nd percentile among running backs with 12.4 rush attempts.
Out of all RBs, Jahmyr Gibbs ranks in the 85th percentile for carries last year, accounting for 52.1% of the workload in his team’s ground game.
With a fantastic tally of 87.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (97th percentile), Jahmyr Gibbs places among the top pure rushers in football last year.
This week, Amon-Ra St. Brown is predicted by the projections to slot into the 86th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.7 targets.
With an impressive 27.1% Target Share (93rd percentile) last year, Amon-Ra St. Brown has been as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads in the NFL.
As it relates to air yards, Amon-Ra St. Brown ranks in the towering 80th percentile among wideouts last year, accruing a remarkable 68.0 per game.
Amon-Ra St. Brown profiles as one of the best wide receivers in the NFL last year, averaging an outstanding 78.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 94th percentile.
Tucker Kraft has run a route on 84.8% of his team’s dropbacks last year, putting him in the 96th percentile among TEs.
The model projects Tucker Kraft to notch 5.0 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 85th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
With an outstanding 41.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (87th percentile) last year, Tucker Kraft ranks as one of the top TE receiving threats in football.
Negatives with the Green Bay Packers Game Today
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Packers are forecasted by the projections to call just 62.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.
The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Green Bay Packers last year (a mere 55.7 per game on average).
The Detroit Lions pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (62.8%) vs. WRs last year (62.8%).
When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Detroit’s group of safeties has been outstanding last year, ranking as the best in the NFL.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Detroit’s passing stats last year may be artificially increased (and running stats too low) as a result of playing the most “low wind” (4-mph or less) games in the league. We ought to be able to count on some regression with windier weather in this game.
Last year, the fierce Green Bay Packers defense has yielded the 9th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to the opposing side: a meager 7.6 yards.
When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Green Bay’s group of safeties has been excellent last year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Packers to run on 40.9% of their opportunities: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 4th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 96.0 per game) against the Detroit Lions defense last year.
The Detroit Lions safeties grade out as the 2nd-best group of safeties in football last year in regard to stopping the run.
Last year, the tough Lions defense has allowed a measly 66.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 2nd-smallest rate in the league.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to run on 41.0% of their opportunities: the 11th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
Last year, the anemic Packers run defense has allowed a whopping 4.07 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition’s run game: the 29th-highest rate in football.
The Green Bay defensive ends rank as the 8th-best unit in football last year when it comes to defending the run.
The Green Bay Packers defense has conceded the 3rd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 124.0) vs. wide receivers last year.
The Green Bay Packers pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency against WRs last year, conceding 7.83 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-fewest in the league.
The Lions pass defense has given up the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (68.6%) vs. tight ends last year (68.6%).
The Lions pass defense has performed very well when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.14 yards-after-the-catch last year: the 3rd-fewest in the league.
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