Lions vs Commanders Match Player Stats | Week 10 Sunday 2025

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DET @ WAS

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 10 Detroit Lions at Washington Commanders
Todays Game is on Sunday, November 9th
09/11/25 16:25:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Detroit Lions Game Today

In this week’s contest, Amon-Ra St. Brown is forecasted by the model to find himself in the 96th percentile among wideouts with 9.6 targets.

After totaling 68.0 air yards per game last year, Amon-Ra St. Brown has posted big gains this year, now averaging 75.0 per game.

Amon-Ra St. Brown’s 74.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 62.4.

With an excellent 78.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (96th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown has been as one of the top pass-catching WRs in the NFL.

The Commanders pass defense has been torched for the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (68.7%) to WRs this year (68.7%).

Sam LaPorta has run a route on 82.9% of his offense’s passing plays this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among tight ends.

In this game, Sam LaPorta is forecasted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 83rd percentile among TEs with 5.5 targets.

With a remarkable 45.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (92nd percentile) this year, Sam LaPorta stands among the top pass-game tight ends in the NFL.

Sam LaPorta’s 87.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this year shows a material progression in his receiving ability over last year’s 77.8% mark.

The Commanders defense has been torched for the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (60.0) vs. TEs this year.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Lions to run on 47.7% of their plays: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.

In this week’s contest, Jahmyr Gibbs is anticipated by our trusted projection set to place in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.5 carries.

Jahmyr Gibbs has been given 54.0% of his team’s carries this year, putting him in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs.

With a stellar rate of 5.23 adjusted yards per carry (88th percentile), Jahmyr Gibbs ranks as one of the top pure rushers in the NFL this year.

The Commanders will be rolling out backup quarterback Marcus Mariota in this week’s game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are massive underdogs in this week’s contest, suggesting much more of a focus on passing than their typical approach.

The projections expect the Commanders offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.31 seconds per play.

The model projects Marcus Mariota to throw 36.0 passes in this week’s contest, on balance: the 7th-most out of all quarterbacks.

Jared Goff has been one of the most on-target quarterbacks in the league this year with an outstanding 73.8% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 97th percentile.

Jared Goff rates as one of the best per-play quarterbacks in the league this year, averaging a fantastic 8.06 adjusted yards-per-target while grading out in the 84th percentile.

Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the 6th-most adjusted yards in the league (262.0 per game) versus the Washington Commanders defense this year.

The Commanders pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency this year, yielding 9.42 adjusted yards-per-target: the most in the league.

The Washington Commanders cornerbacks grade out as the worst CB corps in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

Negatives with the Washington Commanders Game Today

With a 9.5-point advantage, the Lions are overwhelmingly favored in this week’s contest, indicating much more of a focus on rushing than their standard game plan.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to pass on 52.3% of their downs: the 4th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast the Lions offense to be the 3rd-most sluggish paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 29.95 seconds per play.

Amon-Ra St. Brown’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year shows a noteworthy drop-off in his efficiency in space over last year’s 3.6% mark.

After totaling 41.0 air yards per game last season, Sam LaPorta has been a disappointment this season, now pacing 30.0 per game.

Sam LaPorta’s ability to grind out extra yardage has tailed off this season, accumulating a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 5.45 figure last season.

Jahmyr Gibbs’s 66.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year conveys a material diminishment in his rushing ability over last year’s 87.0 mark.

Jahmyr Gibbs profiles as one of the bottom RBs in football at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging a mere 2.56 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 20th percentile.

The Commanders defensive ends profile as the 4th-best group of DEs in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

The model projects the Washington Commanders to be the 6th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 58.8% pass rate.

This year, the stout Detroit Lions defense has yielded a measly 66.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 6th-best rate in football.

This year, the formidable Detroit Lions defense has given up the 5th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing squads: a puny 7.0 yards.

When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Detroit’s LB corps has been great this year, ranking as the 4th-best in football.

Our trusted projections expect Jared Goff to attempt 32.1 passes in this contest, on average: the 10th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

Jared Goff’s 215.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year illustrates a significant decline in his throwing skills over last year’s 266.0 mark.

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