LA @ ATL





Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Monday, December 29th
29/12/25 20:15:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the Los Angeles Rams Game Today
An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Falcons being a massive -8-point underdog in this week’s game.
Our trusted projections expect the Falcons as the 6th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to have 133.4 offensive plays run: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
The Los Angeles Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (37.7 per game) this year.
The model projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 4th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 61.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Rams to call the 4th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.1 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
In this game, Colby Parkinson is projected by our trusted projection set to rank in the 92nd percentile when it comes to TEs with 6.8 targets.
While Colby Parkinson has received 9.9% of his offense’s targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Los Angeles’s pass game this week at 18.0%.
Our trusted projections expect Matthew Stafford to attempt 39.1 passes in this game, on average: the 3rd-most out of all QBs.
Matthew Stafford comes in as one of the top quarterbacks in football this year, averaging a remarkable 254.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 95th percentile.
Negatives with the Atlanta Falcons Game Today
Kyle Pitts’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year marks an impressive drop-off in his effectiveness in the open field over last year’s 5.0% figure.
The Los Angeles Rams defense has conceded the 8th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 44.0) versus TEs this year.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has displayed good efficiency vs. TEs this year, allowing 6.20 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-fewest in the league.
When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles’s group of LBs has been fantastic this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in football.
The Rams are a giant 8-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game versus the Falcons defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.
The Los Angeles O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Colby Parkinson’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a substantial reduction in his efficiency in space over last year’s 5.3% rate.
This year, the strong Falcons defense has given up a puny 39.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs: the 3rd-best in football.
This year, the tough Atlanta Falcons defense has given up a meager 209.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing offenses: the 8th-best in the league.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 10th-lowest clip in football against the Atlanta Falcons defense this year (68.1% Adjusted Completion%).
Drake London’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season shows an impressive drop-off in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last season’s 3.3% rate.
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