TB @ LA






Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, November 23rd
23/11/25 20:20:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers Game Today
The leading projections forecast the Rams as the 7th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.2% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Rams are expected by our trusted projection set to call 65.6 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.
The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The projections expect Puka Nacua to accumulate 10.9 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
With a sizeable 29.6% Target Rate (96th percentile) this year, Puka Nacua stands as one of the wide receivers with the most usage in football.
Kyren Williams’s 5.2 adjusted yards per carry this season represents a noteworthy gain in his rushing ability over last season’s 4.3 mark.
When it comes to the defensive ends’ role in run defense, Tampa Bay’s collection of DEs has been awful this year, grading out as the 7th-worst in the league. in the league.
This week’s line suggests a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
The predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 61.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may decline.
The predictive model expects Baker Mayfield to attempt 37.1 passes in this contest, on average: the 5th-most among all quarterbacks.
The Los Angeles Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (37.0 per game) this year.
Matthew Stafford has been one of the top passers in football this year, averaging an impressive 244.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 92nd percentile.
Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 10th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (244.0 per game) vs. the Buccaneers defense this year.
The Rams defense has yielded the 4th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (164.0) vs. wide receivers this year.
Negatives with the Los Angeles Rams Game Today
With a 6.5-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this week’s game, implying more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all air attack stats across the board.
Puka Nacua’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year signifies a noteable diminishment in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year’s 6.5% mark.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (61.2%) versus WRs this year (61.2%).
The Buccaneers pass defense has displayed good efficiency against wide receivers this year, allowing 7.47 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-fewest in the NFL.
The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Rams as the 7th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 38.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
After taking on 77.4% of his offense’s rushing play calls last year, Kyren Williams has been less involved in the running game this year, currently accounting for only 64.3%.
Kyren Williams has run for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (75.0) this season than he did last season (85.0).
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are expected by the projections to run only 63.9 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-lowest number among all teams this week.
Baker Mayfield has passed for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (214.0) this year than he did last year (274.0).
Baker Mayfield’s throwing accuracy has worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 71.1% to 64.0%.
Baker Mayfield’s throwing efficiency has tailed off this year, averaging a measly 6.93 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 8.18 mark last year.
This year, the stout Rams defense has conceded the 10th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing teams: a paltry 7.3 yards.
This year, the formidable Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has conceded a mere 68.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 9th-lowest rate in football.
When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Tampa Bay’s group of safeties has been very good this year, profiling as the best in the league.
The Rams linebackers project as the 6th-best LB corps in the league this year in pass coverage.
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