
MIA @ LA







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Monday, November 11th
11/11/24 20:15:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
The 3rd-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Miami Dolphins this year (a monstrous 61.6 per game on average).
The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may drop.
The leading projections forecast Jonnu Smith to accumulate 6.0 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
When it comes to air yards, Jonnu Smith ranks in the towering 84th percentile among TEs this year, accruing a remarkable 29.0 per game.
Jonnu Smith’s 34.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 28.8.
In this week’s contest, Tyreek Hill is expected by the projection model to find himself in the 91st percentile among WRs with 8.5 targets.
The Los Angeles Rams linebackers grade out as the 2nd-worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.
The projections expect the Rams to be the 7th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 59.7% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically lead to better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and lower ground volume.
The predictive model expects Matthew Stafford to throw 35.6 passes in this week’s contest, on balance: the 9th-most out of all quarterbacks.
With a terrific rate of 278.0 adjusted passing yards per game (95th percentile), Matthew Stafford places as one of the leading QBs in the league this year.
As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Miami’s group of LBs has been dreadful this year, grading out as the 5th-worst in the NFL.
This week, Kyren Williams is expected by our trusted projection set to finish in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs with 20.4 carries.
Kyren Williams has received 81.9% of his offense’s run game usage this year, placing him in the 100th percentile among running backs.
As it relates to the linebackers’ role in run defense, Miami’s collection of LBs has been lousy this year, grading out as the 5th-worst in the league. in the league.
Colby Parkinson’s 71.4% Route% this year shows a remarkable boost in his passing offense volume over last year’s 33.3% rate.
After averaging 13.0 air yards per game last year, Colby Parkinson has been rising this year, now boasting 25.0 per game.
Colby Parkinson’s 30.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season represents a significant gain in his receiving skills over last season’s 19.0 figure.
With a stellar 71.0% Adjusted Completion% (92nd percentile) this year, Tua Tagovailoa stands among the most on-target quarterbacks in the league.
This year, the shaky Rams defense has allowed the 5th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing offenses: a whopping 8.63 yards.
The Rams defense has not been good when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.40 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 6th-most in the NFL.
The model projects Puka Nacua to accrue 8.2 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile among wideouts.
The predictive model expects Puka Nacua to be a more important option in his team’s pass game this week (24.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (13.9% in games he has played).
With a remarkable 83.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (97th percentile) since the start of last season, Puka Nacua ranks among the top wide receivers in the league in the NFL.
At the present time, the 9th-most run-oriented team in the league (41.5% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Dolphins.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
At the moment, the 9th-least pass-focused team in the NFL (58.5% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Dolphins.
Opposing teams have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game against the Rams defense this year: 7th-fewest in football.
Jonnu Smith’s 5.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year marks a meaningful diminishment in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last year’s 7.1% figure.
Tyreek Hill has put up far fewer air yards this season (91.0 per game) than he did last season (113.0 per game).
Tyreek Hill’s 64.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 77.5.
Tyreek Hill has compiled significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (49.0) this year than he did last year (109.0).
The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Rams to be the 8th-slowest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 28.94 seconds per play.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Miami Dolphins, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 30.8 per game) this year.
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
Opposing QBs have thrown for the 4th-fewest yards in the NFL (just 194.0 adjusted yards per game) against the Dolphins defense this year.
The model projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 7th-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 40.3% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Kyren Williams has run for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (83.0) this year than he did last year (99.0).
Kyren Williams’s rushing efficiency has worsened this season, averaging just 4.18 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 5.20 mark last season.
Colby Parkinson’s possession skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 80.9% to 64.8%.
Colby Parkinson’s 6.0 adjusted yards per target this season reflects a remarkable reduction in his receiving prowess over last season’s 8.4 figure.
Tua Tagovailoa’s 231.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season conveys a noteable reduction in his throwing skills over last season’s 282.0 figure.
Tua Tagovailoa’s 7.23 adjusted yards-per-target this year illustrates a substantial regression in his passing efficiency over last year’s 8.6% mark.
The Miami Dolphins defense has given up the 6th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 121.0) to WRs this year.
Devon Achane has been a much bigger part of his team’s offense this season, playing on 56.3% of snaps compared to just 41.2% last season.
Devon Achane has rushed for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (48.0) this year than he did last year (69.0).
Devon Achane’s 4.1 adjusted yards per carry this year signifies a remarkable diminishment in his running ability over last year’s 7.3 mark.
Devon Achane has been worse at picking up extra running yardage this season, accumulating 2.98 yards-after-contact compared to a 4.94 figure last season.
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