
ARI @ LA







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Saturday, December 28th
28/12/24 20:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are underdogs in this week’s game, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their typical game plan.
The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Kyler Murray’s 68.3% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a noteworthy gain in his throwing accuracy over last year’s 65.3% mark.
The Rams cornerbacks rank as the 10th-worst group of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may drop.
In throwing a whopping 34.1 pass attempts per game this year, Matthew Stafford stands among the top QBs in football (76th percentile) in this regard.
Matthew Stafford’s 65.6% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a noteable growth in his passing accuracy over last season’s 62.4% figure.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 2nd-highest level in the NFL versus the Cardinals defense this year (75.5% Adjusted Completion%).
This year, the feeble Cardinals defense has surrendered the 8th-most yards-after-the-catch in the league to the opposing side: a monstrous 5.09 YAC.
In this contest, Puka Nacua is predicted by the projections to place in the 97th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 10.7 targets.
Puka Nacua profiles as one of the top wide receivers in the league this year, averaging a remarkable 92.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 99th percentile.
Puka Nacua’s 73.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this year marks a substantial boost in his receiving talent over last year’s 67.4% mark.
Puka Nacua profiles as one of the most effective pass-catchers in the league, averaging a terrific 10.05 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 89th percentile among wide receivers.
Trey McBride has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (91.2% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (62.7%).
In this game, Trey McBride is predicted by the predictive model to place in the 99th percentile when it comes to TEs with 9.4 targets.
Trey McBride’s 73.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year conveys a substantial gain in his receiving skills over last year’s 47.0 rate.
In this week’s game, Kyren Williams is anticipated by the projection model to secure a spot in the 97th percentile among RBs with 20.0 carries.
Among all running backs, Kyren Williams ranks in the 100th percentile for carries this year, comprising 78.1% of the workload in his offense’s running game.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
The model projects the Cardinals to run the 5th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.3 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Cardinals have run the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 55.6 plays per game.
Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Rams, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 32.5 per game) this year.
This year, the stout Rams defense has surrendered a feeble 219.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 7th-fewest in the NFL.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 4th-lowest rate in the league vs. the Rams defense this year (66.6% Adjusted Completion%).
This game’s line implies a rushing game script for the Rams, who are favored by 6.5 points.
When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Rams grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year.
Puka Nacua’s 68.5% Route% this season represents a remarkable decrease in his passing game usage over last season’s 91.7% mark.
After accumulating 89.0 air yards per game last year, Puka Nacua has produced significantly fewer this year, now averaging 83.0 per game.
The Cardinals defense has allowed the 9th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 136.0) versus WRs this year.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has surrendered the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (72.9%) vs. TEs this year (72.9%).
As it relates to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Los Angeles’s group of DEs has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in football.
Kyren Williams has rushed for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (83.0) this season than he did last season (99.0).
Kyren Williams’s 4.2 adjusted yards per carry this season shows a substantial drop-off in his running talent over last season’s 5.2 rate.
Kyren Williams ranks as one of the worst RBs in football at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging a lowly 2.66 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 14th percentile.
The Arizona Cardinals safeties project as the 5th-best unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.
This year, the strong Los Angeles Rams defense has given up a puny 139.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers: the 10th-best in football.
This year, the imposing Los Angeles Rams defense has yielded a measly 57.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the best rate in the league.
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