
PIT @ CLE







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Thursday, November 21st
21/11/24 20:15:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see 136.8 offensive plays called: the highest number on the slate this week.
The 3rd-most plays in football have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a massive 61.4 per game on average).
Russell Wilson’s 235.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season signifies a significant gain in his passing skills over last season’s 208.0 figure.
With a stellar 7.76 adjusted yards-per-target (81st percentile) this year, Russell Wilson stands as one of the most effective passers in the league.
The Cleveland Browns defense has been particularly weak when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.87 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 5th-most in the league.
A passing game script is implied by the Browns being a -3.5-point underdog in this week’s contest.
Our trusted projections expect the Browns to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 63.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see 136.8 plays on offense called: the highest number out of all the games this week.
The highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Browns this year (a monstrous 62.6 per game on average).
Jameis Winston has passed for significantly more adjusted yards per game (145.0) this season than he did last season (45.0).
Jerome Ford’s ground effectiveness has gotten a boost this season, accumulating 4.37 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to just 3.62 mark last season.
In this game, David Njoku is predicted by the model to rank in the 91st percentile when it comes to TEs with 6.1 targets.
The projections expect Darnell Washington to be much more involved in his offense’s passing game in this week’s contest (12.1% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (7.1% in games he has played).
Darnell Washington has compiled far more air yards this season (11.0 per game) than he did last season (1.0 per game).
Darnell Washington has put up substantially more adjusted receiving yards per game (19.0) this year than he did last year (8.0).
The predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 2nd-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 50.8% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Najee Harris has rushed for many more adjusted yards per game (71.0) this year than he did last year (59.0).
The Browns defense owns the 4th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing 5.19 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Jerry Jeudy’s 92.7% Route Participation Rate this year represents a remarkable progression in his passing attack volume over last year’s 81.7% mark.
The projections expect George Pickens to garner 7.9 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers.
George Pickens has notched significantly more air yards this season (101.0 per game) than he did last season (89.0 per game).
George Pickens’s 77.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 62.5.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
This game’s line indicates a rushing game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 3.5 points.
The model projects the Steelers as the 2nd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 49.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
In this contest, Russell Wilson is predicted by the projections to wind up with the 3rd-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 30.2.,Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Browns, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 30.3 per game) this year.
Russell Wilson’s throwing precision has tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 66.1% to 61.9%.
The Browns O-line profiles as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 7th-lowest clip in the league versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year (67.9% Adjusted Completion%).
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to run on 36.9% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
Jerome Ford has been a much smaller part of his offense’s rushing attack this year (29.9% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (41.1%).
Jerome Ford’s 31.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season signifies a substantial decrease in his rushing prowess over last season’s 43.0 figure.
Opposing squads have run for the 4th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 90.0 per game) versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year.
David Njoku’s 34.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 41.5.
David Njoku has accrued substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (48.0) this year than he did last year (55.0).
David Njoku’s skills in picking up extra yardage have worsened this year, accumulating just 4.51 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 7.33 rate last year.
The Steelers pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (71.3%) versus TEs this year (71.3%).
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (65.8%) versus tight ends this year (65.8%).
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has displayed strong efficiency against TEs this year, conceding 6.51 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-fewest in the NFL.
The Browns linebackers rank as the best group of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.
Jerry Jeudy’s 55.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this season illustrates a noteworthy decrease in his pass-catching prowess over last season’s 64.6% mark.
Jerry Jeudy’s 7.5 adjusted yards per target this year represents a noteable decrease in his receiving prowess over last year’s 9.0 rate.
Jerry Jeudy’s 3.56 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season represents a remarkable decline in his effectiveness in the open field over last season’s 5.7% figure.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has conceded the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (60.9%) versus WRs this year (60.9%).
George Pickens’s talent in generating extra yardage have declined this year, compiling a measly 2.88 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 5.94 figure last year.
The Browns pass defense has allowed the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (57.7%) versus WRs this year (57.7%).
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