DEN @ LV



Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 7th
07/12/25 16:05:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the Denver Broncos Game Today
At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Raiders are massive underdogs this week, indicating much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their typical game plan.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Raiders to pass on 62.9% of their plays: the 4th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.8 plays on offense called: the 5th-most among all games this week.
The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.
The Denver Broncos defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (37.2 per game) this year.
The Denver defensive ends grade out as the worst unit in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.
Negatives with the Las Vegas Raiders Game Today
The Las Vegas Raiders have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 53.8 plays per game.
The Las Vegas O-line grades out as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all air attack stats across the board.
Geno Smith has passed for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (193.0) this year than he did last year (256.0).
Geno Smith’s 66.1% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a noteable regression in his passing accuracy over last year’s 70.1% mark.
With a bad 6.69 adjusted yards-per-target (23rd percentile) this year, Geno Smith has been as one of the worst per-play QBs in the league.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to run on 37.1% of their chances: the 4th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
This year, the deficient Denver Broncos run defense has been torched for a massive 3.70 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposing ground game: the 31st-highest rate in the NFL.
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