Broncos vs Chargers Match Player Stats | Week 16 Thursday 2024

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Broncos vs Chargers Match Player Stats | Week 16 Thursday 2024

DEN @ LAC

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 16 Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers
Todays Game is on Thursday, December 19th
19/12/24 20:15:00 PM EST Kickoff

Key Match Player Stats to this Game

With a 62.0% rate of throwing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in football has been the Chargers.

Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and lower ground volume.

Opposing QBs have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year: 3rd-most in football.

This year, the poor Broncos defense has surrendered a whopping 244.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing teams: the 7th-most in the league.

This year, the porous Denver Broncos defense has conceded a colossal 161.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing WRs: the 8th-worst in football.

The Broncos have been the 7th-most pass-centric team in football (adjusted for context) this year with a 63.4% pass rate.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are projected by the predictive model to run 65.6 offensive plays in this contest: the 8th-most among all teams this week.

The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The leading projections forecast Courtland Sutton to accumulate 9.2 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile among wideouts.

This year, the weak Chargers defense has conceded the 8th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wide receivers: a colossal 8.51 yards.

The predictive model expects Stone Smartt to garner 5.8 targets in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 91st percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Stone Smartt’s 29.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year indicates a remarkable gain in his pass-catching skills over last year’s 10.0 mark.

The Denver O-line ranks as the best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

The leading projections forecast Gus Edwards to accrue 14.9 rush attempts in this contest, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to running backs.

While Gus Edwards has garnered 36.5% of his offense’s rushing play calls in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more important option in Los Angeles’s running game this week at 54.1%.

The Broncos safeties rank as the 30th-worst group of safeties in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game

The projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 28.81 seconds per snap.

Justin Herbert has passed for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (201.0) this year than he did last year (248.0).

With a subpar 62.7% Adjusted Completion% (24th percentile) this year, Justin Herbert rates as one of the least accurate QBs in the league.

This year, the daunting Broncos defense has yielded the 8th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to the opposing side: a paltry 7.5 yards.

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Denver’s unit has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

The Broncos pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.63 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-fewest in football.

Courtland Sutton’s 60.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this season represents a material diminishment in his pass-catching proficiency over last season’s 68.4% rate.

With a feeble 2.15 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (11th percentile) this year, Courtland Sutton ranks as one of the top pass-catching WRs in the league in picking up extra yardage.

The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.88 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-fewest in the NFL.

When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Los Angeles’s safety corps has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the NFL.

The Broncos pass defense has surrendered the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (69.9%) to TEs this year (69.9%).

This year, the strong Denver Broncos defense has surrendered the least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing TEs: a puny 5.9 yards.

As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Denver’s collection of safeties has been great this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.

The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, surrendering 7.37 adjusted yards-per-target: the 6th-fewest in the NFL.

The Los Angeles Chargers defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.36 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-fewest in the league.

With a 38.0% rate of running the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 10th-least run-focused offense in football has been the Chargers.

Gus Edwards has rushed for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (30.0) this year than he did last year (51.0).

This year, the poor Denver Broncos run defense has allowed a massive 3.88 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing rushing attacks: the 30th-biggest rate in football.

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