
CIN @ CAR







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 29th
29/09/24 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
The Bengals are a 5-point favorite in this week’s contest, indicating a running game script.
This week, Zack Moss is anticipated by the projection model to slot into the 75th percentile when it comes to RBs with 13.0 carries.
Out of all RBs, Zack Moss grades out in the 83rd percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 55.3% of the workload in his offense’s ground game.
Zack Moss has grinded out 55.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in the league among RBs (82nd percentile).
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in the NFL (139 per game) vs. the Panthers defense since the start of last season.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 62.7% of their opportunities: the 3rd-highest frequency among all teams this week.
The projections expect Ja’Marr Chase to total 9.2 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile when it comes to WRs.
The predictive model expects Ja’Marr Chase to be a much bigger part of his offense’s pass game in this contest (26.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (18.0% in games he has played).
When talking about air yards, Ja’Marr Chase grades out in the towering 85th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, accumulating an impressive 77.0 per game.
With a terrific 66.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, Ja’Marr Chase has been as one of the top pass-catching WRs in the NFL.
In this game, Joe Burrow is forecasted by the predictive model to have the 2nd-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 36.5. , With an exceptional 67.7% Adjusted Completion% (84th percentile) since the start of last season, Joe Burrow ranks among the most accurate passers in the NFL.
As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Carolina’s safety corps has been lousy since the start of last season, grading out as the 3rd-worst in football.
At a -5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this week’s game, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their normal game plan.
The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Carolina Panthers since the start of last season (a monstrous 60.0 per game on average).
The predictive model expects Diontae Johnson to earn 8.3 targets in this week’s contest, on balance, ranking him in the 90th percentile among wide receivers.
Diontae Johnson has been an integral part of his team’s passing offense, earning a Target Share of 25.0% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 90th percentile when it comes to WRs.
Diontae Johnson ranks as one of the top WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a fantastic 46.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 76th percentile.
Opposing teams have passed for the 5th-most adjusted yards in the league (237.0 per game) against the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the anemic Bengals defense has been torched for the most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to the opposing side: a whopping 8.66 yards.
Our trusted projections expect the Panthers to be the 8th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 42.7% run rate.
In this week’s game, Chuba Hubbard is expected by the projections to place in the 88th percentile among running backs with 16.5 rush attempts.
Chuba Hubbard has generated 54.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in football when it comes to RBs (80th percentile).
Since the start of last season, the shaky Bengals run defense has allowed a colossal 127.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 7th-worst in the league.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to run on 37.3% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Bengals have called the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 56.4 plays per game.
Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Panthers, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a measly 28.1 per game) since the start of last season.
The Carolina Panthers defense has surrendered the 3rd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 114.0) vs. wideouts since the start of last season.
Joe Burrow checks in as one of the worst per-play quarterbacks in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 6.53 adjusted yards-per-target while ranking in the lowly 23rd percentile.
At the present time, the 8th-least pass-centric offense in football (57.3% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Panthers.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Carolina Panthers are predicted by the projections to run just 61.6 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season: 5th-fewest in the league.
The Panthers O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Cincinnati’s collection of CBs has been one of the most skilled since the start of last season, ranking as the best in the league.
With a feeble 55.3% Adjusted Completion% (18th percentile) since the start of last season, Andy Dalton stands as one of the least accurate QBs in the NFL.
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers profile as the 2nd-best collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.
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