LAC @ DEN



Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, January 4th
04/01/26 16:25:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the Los Angeles Chargers Game Today
Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Broncos are forecasted by the model to run 67.3 offensive plays in this game: the 4th-highest number among all teams this week.
The Broncos have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 59.9 plays per game.
The Denver Broncos offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The Los Angeles Chargers will be rolling with backup quarterback Trey Lance in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
At a -12.5-point disadvantage, the Chargers are huge underdogs in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on throwing than their usual approach.
The model projects the Chargers to be the 9th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 59.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The model projects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.1 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The Denver Broncos defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (36.6 per game) this year.
Negatives with the Denver Broncos Game Today
With a 12.5-point advantage, the Broncos are a heavy favorite in this week’s contest, indicating much more of a reliance on running than their typical game plan.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Broncos to pass on 54.9% of their chances: the 11th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Los Angeles Chargers, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.1 per game) this year.
Opposing teams have passed for the 5th-fewest yards in the league (just 195.0 adjusted yards per game) against the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year.
This year, the strong Chargers defense has surrendered a paltry 65.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 3rd-best rate in football.
Trey Lance has attempted just 3.2 throws per game this year, ranking in the 16th percentile among QBs.
The Los Angeles offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
Trey Lance checks in as one of the worst QBs in football this year, averaging 21.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 17th percentile.
Trey Lance checks in as one of the least accurate passers in the NFL since the start of last season with a 58.3% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 15th percentile.
This year, the fierce Broncos defense has given up a meager 66.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 5th-lowest rate in football.
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