
DEN @ CIN







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Saturday, December 28th
28/12/24 16:30:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
This week’s line implies a throwing game script for the Broncos, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
The Broncos have been the 7th-most pass-centric offense in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 63.4% pass rate.
The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.9 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game against the Bengals defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
In regards to pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Broncos profiles as the best in the league this year.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.2% of their chances: the highest rate on the slate this week.
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bengals are projected by the predictive model to run 67.2 offensive plays in this game: the 3rd-most among all teams this week.
Opposing QBs have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
With an extraordinary 97.6% Route Participation Rate (98th percentile) this year, Ja’Marr Chase has been as one of the wide receivers with the most usage in the league.
Ja’Marr Chase’s 96.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season represents an impressive improvement in his pass-catching proficiency over last season’s 75.0 figure.
In this contest, Courtland Sutton is predicted by our trusted projection set to land in the 92nd percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.8 targets.
After totaling 23.0 air yards per game last season, Mike Gesicki has seen a big uptick this season, currently averaging 36.0 per game.
Mike Gesicki has notched many more adjusted receiving yards per game (37.0) this season than he did last season (17.0).
The leading projections forecast Joe Burrow to throw 41.1 passes in this game, on balance: the most among all quarterbacks.
Joe Burrow’s 288.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season signifies a material growth in his passing skills over last season’s 241.0 mark.
In this week’s contest, Chase Brown is projected by the predictive model to land in the 92nd percentile among running backs with 18.3 carries.
The model projects Chase Brown to be much more involved in his team’s rushing attack in this week’s contest (78.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (61.2% in games he has played).
Chase Brown has rushed for significantly more adjusted yards per game (60.0) this season than he did last season (16.0).
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
This game’s spread implies a running game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 3.5 points.
When talking about pass protection (and the influence it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Cincinnati Bengals grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year.
This year, the stout Denver Broncos pass defense has given up the 6th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a mere 3.6 YAC.
The Broncos cornerbacks grade out as the 2nd-best CB corps in football this year in defending receivers.
Courtland Sutton’s 60.3% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates a noteable reduction in his pass-catching skills over last season’s 68.4% rate.
With a bad 2.15 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (11th percentile) this year, Courtland Sutton ranks among the top wide receivers in the game in the league in space.
This year, the strong Denver Broncos defense has conceded a feeble 69.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 5th-lowest rate in the NFL.
The Broncos pass defense has displayed good efficiency vs. tight ends this year, surrendering 5.87 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the fewest in the league.
The Denver Broncos safeties rank as the 2nd-best group of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
This year, the fierce Denver Broncos defense has allowed the 8th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing squads: a measly 7.5 yards.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to run on 34.8% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The Broncos defense boasts the 3rd-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, giving up just 3.88 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
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