Chiefs vs Broncos Match Player Stats | Week 11 Sunday 2025

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KC @ DEN

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos Week 11Chiefs vs BroncosChiefs vs BroncosChiefs vs BroncosChiefs vs BroncosChiefs vs BroncosChiefs vs Broncos

Todays Matchup Details

Week 11 Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos
Todays Game is on Sunday, November 16th
16/11/25 16:25:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Kansas City Chiefs Game Today

This week’s spread indicates a passing game script for the Broncos, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Denver Broncos to pass on 59.6% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the projections to see 134.0 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most among all games this week.

In this week’s game, Evan Engram is anticipated by the projection model to finish in the 87th percentile among TEs with 5.7 targets.

The Denver Broncos offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

A running game script is suggested by the Chiefs being a 3.5-point favorite this week.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.0 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 58.9 plays per game.

The model projects Kareem Hunt to accrue 13.0 carries this week, on balance, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs.

While Kareem Hunt has earned 32.5% of his offense’s run game usage in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much bigger part of Kansas City’s running game in this week’s contest at 51.0%.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 61.8% of their chances: the 4th-greatest rate among all teams this week.

The leading projections forecast Travis Kelce to accrue 6.5 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to tight ends.

In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Chiefs profiles as the 6th-best in football this year.

In this contest, Patrick Mahomes is expected by the predictive model to total the 3rd-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 38.5.,Patrick Mahomes has been one of the leading quarterbacks in the league this year, averaging an exceptional 275.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 97th percentile.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 2nd-highest clip in football against the Chiefs defense this year (77.1% Adjusted Completion%).

In this week’s contest, Rashee Rice is predicted by the projections to rank in the 97th percentile among wide receivers with 10.2 targets.

Rashee Rice has been an integral part of his team’s pass game, earning a Target Share of 27.1% since the start of last season, which places him in the 95th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

In this week’s game, Courtland Sutton is predicted by the model to place in the 90th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.3 targets.

Negatives with the Denver Broncos Game Today

Opposing teams have averaged 29.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.

Evan Engram’s 14.0% Target Rate this season represents a meaningful diminishment in his passing attack usage over last season’s 25.0% rate.

Evan Engram has accumulated quite a few less air yards this year (20.0 per game) than he did last year (40.0 per game).

Evan Engram has notched significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (22.0) this year than he did last year (40.0).

Evan Engram’s 67.2% Adjusted Completion Rate this year illustrates a material decrease in his receiving skills over last year’s 75.7% rate.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chiefs to run on 38.2% of their chances: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

Kareem Hunt’s 37.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season shows a remarkable diminishment in his running skills over last season’s 58.0 figure.

The Broncos defense has had the best efficiency against opposing ground games this year, conceding just 3.56 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

As it relates to the safeties’ role in defending against the run, Denver’s unit has been exceptional this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

Travis Kelce’s 17.3% Target Rate this season represents a meaningful decline in his passing offense utilization over last season’s 24.6% figure.

Travis Kelce has put up far fewer air yards this season (37.0 per game) than he did last season (59.0 per game).

Travis Kelce’s skills in generating extra yardage have worsened this season, accumulating just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.53 mark last season.

The Broncos pass defense has conceded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (63.8%) to TEs this year (63.8%).

This year, the fierce Broncos defense has allowed a meager 64.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 3rd-best rate in football.

The Denver Broncos pass defense has shown strong efficiency this year, conceding 7.02 adjusted yards-per-target: the 5th-fewest in the league.

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Denver’s collection of safeties has been one of the most skilled this year, ranking as the 5th-best in the league.

This year, the tough Kansas City Chiefs defense has yielded a puny 193.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing offenses: the 6th-best in football.

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Kansas City’s unit has been exceptional this year, projecting as the best in football.

Rashee Rice’s 77.7% Adjusted Catch% this year illustrates a substantial diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last year’s 81.1% figure.

Rashee Rice’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year reflects a meaningful decline in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last year’s 7.0% mark.

The Broncos defense has given up the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 120.0) vs. WRs this year.

This year, the daunting Denver Broncos defense has surrendered the least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing WRs: a mere 6.5 yards.

Courtland Sutton has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this year (93.0 per game) than he did last year (102.0 per game).

Courtland Sutton’s 55.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 68.1.

Courtland Sutton has compiled quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (52.0) this year than he did last year (73.0).

Courtland Sutton’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a remarkable decrease in his effectiveness in space over last year’s 2.1% mark.

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