Broncos at Saints Match Player Stats | Week 7 Thursday 2024

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Broncos at Saints Match Player Stats | Week 7 Thursday 2024

DEN @ NO

Denver Broncos at New Orleans Saints Week 7Broncos vs SaintsBroncos vs SaintsBroncos vs SaintsBroncos vs SaintsBroncos vs SaintsBroncos vs Saints

Todays Matchup Details

Week 7 Denver Broncos at New Orleans Saints
Todays Game is on Thursday, October 17th
17/10/24 20:15:00 PM EST Kickoff

Key Match Player Stats to this Game

The model projects the New Orleans Saints to run the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.7 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.3 pass attempts per game against the Broncos defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

A passing game script is indicated by the Broncos being a -3.5-point underdog this week.

The model projects this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 131.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.

The Saints defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (40.5 per game) this year.

The Broncos O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New Orleans Saints to run on 46.7% of their chances: the 6th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

The projections expect Alvin Kamara to garner 14.1 rush attempts in this week’s game, on balance, placing him in the 84th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Alvin Kamara’s 73.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season illustrates a significant progression in his rushing skills over last season’s 57.0 figure.

Out of all RBs, Javonte Williams ranks in the 79th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 43.6% of the workload in his team’s ground game.

The Saints defense has had the 4th-worst efficiency against opposing ground games this year, allowing 5.31 adjusted yards-per-carry.

The Saints defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-worst DT corps in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

In this week’s game, Courtland Sutton is predicted by the model to finish in the 91st percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.2 targets.

Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game

A running game script is indicated by the Saints being a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s game.

The leading projections forecast the Saints as the 6th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 53.3% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The 10th-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the New Orleans Saints this year (a lowly 55.0 per game on average).

The New Orleans offensive line ranks as the worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

Opposing offenses have passed for the 6th-fewest yards in the NFL (just 198.0 adjusted yards per game) vs. the Broncos defense this year.

While Alvin Kamara has received 67.6% of his team’s rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a much smaller part of New Orleans’s running game in this contest at 45.0%.

The Broncos defense has had the 7th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, giving up just 4.02 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

When it comes to the defensive tackles’ role in stopping the run, Denver’s group of DTs has been great this year, ranking as the 5th-best in the league.

Javonte Williams has run for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (36.0) this year than he did last year (49.0).

Javonte Williams’s ground efficiency (3.66 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football this year (21st percentile when it comes to RBs).

Courtland Sutton’s possession skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 68.4% to 48.3%.

Courtland Sutton’s 7.1 adjusted yards per target this season shows a noteworthy decrease in his pass-catching proficiency over last season’s 9.6 mark.

Courtland Sutton’s 1.57 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year shows an impressive decrease in his efficiency in space over last year’s 2.6% figure.

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