
CAR @ DEN




Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, October 27th
27/10/24 16:25:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
The Broncos are an enormous 9-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Denver Broncos to run on 48.9% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week.
Our trusted projections expect the Broncos to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
In this game, Javonte Williams is predicted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 81st percentile when it comes to running backs with 14.8 carries.
This year, the feeble Carolina Panthers run defense has surrendered a whopping 182.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the worst in the NFL.
After totaling 76.0 air yards per game last year, Courtland Sutton has seen marked improvement this year, now averaging 91.0 per game.
Courtland Sutton’s 59.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 87th percentile for wideouts.
When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Denver Broncos grades out as the 6th-best in football this year.
With an outstanding 53.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (77th percentile) this year, Courtland Sutton rates among the leading wide receivers in the NFL in football.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 5th-highest clip in the NFL versus the Carolina Panthers defense this year (75.0% Adjusted Completion%).
This year, the anemic Panthers defense has given up the 2nd-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing teams: a monstrous 8.77 yards.
When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Carolina’s group of safeties has been awful this year, projecting as the 6th-worst in the league.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
The Broncos have run the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 55.3 plays per game.
Javonte Williams’s 59.9% Snap% this year reflects a material progression in his offensive usage over last year’s 49.6% mark.
Javonte Williams checks in as one of the bottom RBs in football at generating extra running yardage, averaging a lowly 2.67 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 24th percentile.
The predictive model expects the Broncos to be the 3rd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 51.1% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Panthers, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in football (just 29.6 per game) this year.
Courtland Sutton’s sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 68.4% to 48.4%.
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