
ATL @ DEN







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, November 17th
17/11/24 16:05:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 133.0 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects Kirk Cousins to throw 35.5 passes in this game, on balance: the 8th-most among all quarterbacks.
Opposing teams have averaged 35.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Broncos are anticipated by the model to run 67.2 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-highest number among all teams this week.
Opposing QBs have averaged 36.9 pass attempts per game against the Falcons defense this year: 5th-most in football.
When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Broncos ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year.
This year, the poor Falcons defense has given up a colossal 74.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 4th-highest rate in the NFL.
The leading projections forecast Kyle Pitts to accumulate 5.5 targets in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile when it comes to TEs.
With an exceptional 39.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (82nd percentile) this year, Kyle Pitts rates as one of the top pass-game tight ends in the league.
Kyle Pitts’s 68.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this year reflects a material improvement in his pass-catching talent over last year’s 60.1% mark.
The projections expect Drake London to accumulate 9.4 targets in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 97th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
Drake London has been a more integral piece of his offense’s pass attack this year (29.0% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (23.3%).
Drake London’s 73.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year represents a meaningful progression in his pass-catching prowess over last year’s 58.0 mark.
At the present time, the 8th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL (41.6% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Falcons.
In this week’s game, Bijan Robinson is anticipated by the projection model to rank in the 87th percentile among running backs with 16.1 rush attempts.
Bijan Robinson has been much more involved in his team’s rushing attack this year (62.0% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (41.7%).
Bijan Robinson has run for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (67.0) this year than he did last year (50.0).
In this game, Courtland Sutton is expected by the projection model to finish in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers with 8.3 targets.
Courtland Sutton has posted significantly more air yards this year (92.0 per game) than he did last year (76.0 per game).
Courtland Sutton’s 62.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) ranks among the best in the NFL: 92nd percentile for wideouts.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
At the present time, the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (58.4% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Atlanta Falcons.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year.
Kirk Cousins’s 255.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year represents a noteable drop-off in his passing proficiency over last year’s 293.0 figure.
The Broncos pass defense has shown strong efficiency this year, yielding 7.27 adjusted yards-per-target: the 8th-fewest in the NFL.
This year, the formidable Denver Broncos defense has given up the 8th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing offenses: a paltry 4.6 YAC.
The model projects the Broncos as the 7th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
This year, the daunting Atlanta Falcons defense has yielded the least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing offenses: a paltry 3.8 YAC.
As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Atlanta’s LB corps has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 9th-best in the NFL.
After accumulating 62.0 air yards per game last season, Kyle Pitts has seen a big downtick this season, currently pacing 41.0 per game.
Kyle Pitts’s 34.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 44.8.
The Broncos defense has conceded the 10th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 42.0) vs. tight ends this year.
This year, the formidable Broncos defense has conceded a feeble 134.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers: the 10th-best in the league.
This year, the tough Broncos pass defense has conceded the 2nd-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing wide receivers: a meager 3.1 YAC.
When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Denver’s unit has been terrific this year, profiling as the 5th-best in football.
This year, the feeble Denver Broncos run defense has been gouged for a colossal 3.99 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition’s ground game: the 27th-highest rate in football.
The Denver Broncos linebackers grade out as the 5th-best collection of LBs in the league this year with their run defense.
Courtland Sutton’s 57.4% Adjusted Completion% this season shows a remarkable regression in his pass-catching prowess over last season’s 68.4% rate.
Courtland Sutton’s 8.3 adjusted yards per target this year indicates a significant decline in his receiving proficiency over last year’s 9.6 mark.
Courtland Sutton comes in as one of the bottom WRs in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a lowly 2.45 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 19th percentile.
The Falcons pass defense has excelled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, yielding an average of 2.89 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in the NFL.
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