Jaguars vs Broncos Match Player Stats | Week 16 Sunday 2025

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JAX @ DEN

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 16 Jacksonville Jaguars at Denver Broncos
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 21st
21/12/25 16:05:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Jacksonville Jaguars Game Today

The predictive model expects the Broncos to be the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 63.6% pass rate.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 136.6 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The Denver Broncos have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.4 plays per game.

The Jaguars defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the most passes in football (39.9 per game) this year.

The Broncos offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all passing offense stats across the board.

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Jaguars are underdogs this week, implying more of a focus on passing than their standard game plan.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 62.5% of their plays: the 5th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 6th-most in football.

Brenton Strange has gone out for fewer passes this season (75.1% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (45.2%).

This week, Trevor Lawrence is expected by our trusted projection set to total the 9th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 36.5.,In this week’s contest, Travis Etienne is predicted by the projections to land in the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs with 17.8 carries.

While Travis Etienne has garnered 54.7% of his team’s rush attempts in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a much bigger part of Jacksonville’s run game in this week’s game at 75.5%.

Travis Etienne’s 60.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year reflects an impressive progression in his running ability over last year’s 37.0 mark.

Travis Etienne’s 4.5 adjusted yards per carry this year shows a remarkable progression in his rushing proficiency over last year’s 3.7 rate.

In this week’s contest, Courtland Sutton is anticipated by the projections to position himself in the 83rd percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.3 targets.

The leading projections forecast Evan Engram to garner 5.6 targets in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

The leading projections forecast Jakobi Meyers to garner 7.7 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 86th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Negatives with the Denver Broncos Game Today

The Broncos are a 3-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 9th-lowest level in football vs. the Jaguars defense this year (68.3% Adjusted Completion%).

The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has displayed good efficiency this year, allowing 6.99 adjusted yards-per-target: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.

When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Jacksonville’s unit has been terrific this year, grading out as the best in the league.

Brenton Strange’s talent in picking up extra yardage have worsened this season, totaling just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.58 rate last season.

The Broncos pass defense has allowed the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (69%) versus tight ends this year (69.0%).

With a weak 59.9% Adjusted Completion% (13th percentile) this year, Trevor Lawrence rates among the worst precision passers in the NFL.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 4th-lowest level in the league against the Denver Broncos defense this year (65.4% Adjusted Completion%).

This year, the fierce Broncos defense has surrendered the 7th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to the opposing side: a feeble 7.1 yards.

The model projects the Jaguars to be the 5th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 37.5% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

This year, the stout Broncos run defense has given up a paltry 90.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 3rd-best in the league.

After totaling 102.0 air yards per game last season, Courtland Sutton has posted significant losses this season, currently sitting at 94.0 per game.

Courtland Sutton’s 56.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 68.1.

Courtland Sutton has accumulated substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (54.0) this season than he did last season (73.0).

Courtland Sutton’s skills in grinding out extra yardage have declined this season, notching a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 2.11 figure last season.

Evan Engram’s 13.7% Target Rate this year reflects a material drop-off in his pass attack utilization over last year’s 25.0% rate.

Evan Engram has compiled far fewer air yards this year (18.0 per game) than he did last year (40.0 per game).

Evan Engram has put up many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (22.0) this season than he did last season (40.0).

Evan Engram’s sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 75.7% to 66.9%.

After averaging 82.0 air yards per game last season, Jakobi Meyers has fallen off this season, currently averaging 63.0 per game.

Jakobi Meyers’s 53.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 61.2.

Jakobi Meyers’s 47.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season shows a remarkable decline in his receiving talent over last season’s 71.0 rate.

Jakobi Meyers’s skills in generating extra yardage have tailed off this year, compiling a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.13 figure last year.

This year, the daunting Broncos defense has yielded a puny 62.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 9th-lowest rate in football.

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