
CLE @ DEN



Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Monday, December 2nd
02/12/24 20:15:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
The predictive model expects this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 138.1 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Denver Broncos ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.
The Cleveland Browns defense has been particularly weak when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 5.65 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 4th-most in the league.
As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Cleveland’s unit has been terrible this year, ranking as the 5th-worst in football.
This game’s spread implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
The model projects the Cleveland Browns as the 4th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 63.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 138.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year: 6th-most in football.
Jameis Winston has passed for substantially more adjusted yards per game (159.0) this year than he did last year (45.0).
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
The Broncos are a 5.5-point favorite in this week’s game, likely leading to a running game script.
The projections expect the Broncos to be the 6th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 54.2% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the Browns, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 30.5 per game) this year.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest rate in the league against the Cleveland Browns defense this year (65.5% Adjusted Completion%).
As it relates to pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Browns profiles as the 8th-worst in the league this year.
This year, the daunting Broncos defense has given up the 7th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to the opposing side: a meager 7.4 yards.
The Broncos defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.54 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-fewest in the NFL.
The Denver Broncos cornerbacks grade out as the 3rd-best CB corps in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.
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