Falcons vs Saints Match Player Stats | Week 4 Sunday New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons

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Falcons vs Saints Match Player Stats | Week 4 Sunday New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons

NO @ ATL

New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons Week 4Saints vs FalconsSaints vs FalconsSaints vs FalconsSaints vs FalconsSaints vs FalconsSaints vs Falcons

Todays Matchup Details

Week 4 New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 29th
29/09/24 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Key Match Player Stats to this Game

With a 4-point advantage, the Falcons are favored this week, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their normal game plan.

Right now, the 9th-most run-heavy offense in the league (42.5% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Falcons.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.0 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

In this week’s game, Bijan Robinson is projected by the projections to secure a spot in the 92nd percentile among RBs with 18.0 carries.

With a remarkable rate of 51.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (77th percentile), Bijan Robinson has been as one of the top pure runners in the NFL since the start of last season.

This week’s line implies a passing game script for the Saints, who are -4-point underdogs.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see 130.0 plays on offense called: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.

The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Saints since the start of last season (a colossal 59.5 per game on average).

Chris Olave comes in as one of the leading wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a fantastic 58.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 88th percentile.

The predictive model expects Kyle Pitts to earn 5.7 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 94th percentile among tight ends.

Kyle Pitts has accumulated a massive 59.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 99th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Kyle Pitts rates in the 95th percentile when it comes to tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) with an astounding 43.8 mark since the start of last season.

Derek Carr rates as one of the most on-target passers in the NFL since the start of last season with a stellar 67.8% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 87th percentile.

With an impressive 90.7% Route Participation% (88th percentile) since the start of last season, Drake London places as one of the WRs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.

The model projects Drake London to garner 8.4 targets in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile when it comes to WRs.

Drake London has totaled a colossal 72.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 83rd percentile when it comes to WRs.

At the present time, the 6th-most run-centric team in football (43.6% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Saints.

Alvin Kamara has generated 65.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest figures in the NFL among running backs (89th percentile).

Since the start of last season, the feeble Falcons run defense has been torched for a massive 125.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 9th-most in the league.

The Atlanta Falcons offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all air attack stats across the board.

With an impressive record of 227.0 adjusted passing yards per game (78th percentile), Kirk Cousins rates among the top passers in football since the start of last season.

With an excellent 68.1% Adjusted Completion% (90th percentile) since the start of last season, Kirk Cousins stands among the best precision passers in the league.

Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game

This game will be played in a dome, —meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

At the moment, the 6th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (56.4% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Saints.

When it comes to protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Saints profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

The Falcons defense has conceded the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 120.0) versus wide receivers since the start of last season.

The Falcons pass defense has shown good efficiency vs. WRs since the start of last season, allowing 7.28 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-fewest in football.

When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Atlanta’s group of safeties has been excellent since the start of last season, grading out as the 9th-best in football.

Our trusted projections expect the Falcons to be the 9th-least pass-focused offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 57.5% pass rate.

Kyle Pitts grades out as one of the worst possession receivers in the league among TEs, completing a measly 61.4% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 4th percentile.

Kyle Pitts grades out as one of the bottom tight ends in football at generating extra yardage, averaging just 2.66 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 4th percentile.

The New Orleans Saints pass defense has conceded the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (71.4%) versus TEs since the start of last season (71.4%).

Opposing QBs have thrown for the 6th-fewest yards in football (just 200.0 adjusted yards per game) vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, the tough Atlanta Falcons defense has allowed the 2nd-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing offenses: a puny 4.7 YAC.

Drake London has been one of the worst wide receivers in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging just 3.15 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 22nd percentile.

Since the start of last season, the tough New Orleans Saints defense has surrendered a puny 59.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 3rd-best rate in the league.

The Saints pass defense has displayed good efficiency against wideouts since the start of last season, conceding 7.62 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-fewest in football.

When it comes to the defensive tackles’ role in stopping the run, Atlanta’s DT corps has been phenomenal since the start of last season, ranking as the 8th-best in the NFL.

Since the start of last season, the stout New Orleans Saints defense has allowed a meager 64.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 2nd-lowest rate in the NFL.

The New Orleans Saints linebackers grade out as the 6th-best unit in football since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

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