Falcons vs Saints Match Player Stats | Week 12 Sunday 2025

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ATL @ NO

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 12 Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints
Todays Game is on Sunday, November 23rd
23/11/25 16:25:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Atlanta Falcons Game Today

The leading projections forecast the New Orleans Saints as the 4th-most run-focused team among all teams this week with a 46.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect this game to see the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.2 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The predictive model expects Alvin Kamara to accrue 18.1 carries in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 91st percentile when it comes to running backs.

This year, the feeble Falcons run defense has yielded a massive 137.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 6th-most in the NFL.

When it comes to the defensive tackles’ role in stopping the run, Atlanta’s DT corps has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league. in the league.

The projections expect this game to have the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.2 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

With an elite 93.2% Route% (90th percentile) this year, Darnell Mooney has been among the wideouts with the most usage in the NFL.

In this week’s contest, Darnell Mooney is expected by the predictive model to finish in the 89th percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.3 targets.

After accruing 73.0 air yards per game last year, Darnell Mooney has made big progress this year, currently boasting 84.0 per game.

Kyle Pitts has been used less as a potential target this year (90.8% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (75.7%).

The projections expect Kyle Pitts to total 8.2 targets in this week’s contest, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among TEs.

After accumulating 36.0 air yards per game last year, Kyle Pitts has produced significantly more this year, currently pacing 43.0 per game.

The Atlanta O-line grades out as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

This year, the porous Saints defense has given up a whopping 73.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 8th-biggest rate in the NFL.

The projections expect Chris Olave to accumulate 9.6 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 94th percentile among WRs.

Chris Olave’s 28.5% Target% this season represents a remarkable growth in his passing offense usage over last season’s 19.2% mark.

Chris Olave has compiled quite a few more air yards this season (106.0 per game) than he did last season (57.0 per game).

At the moment, the 3rd-most run-oriented offense in the league (42.7% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Falcons.

In this week’s game, Bijan Robinson is anticipated by the projection model to rank in the 93rd percentile among RBs with 18.5 carries.

Bijan Robinson has received 63.2% of his team’s carries this year, putting him in the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs.

With an outstanding total of 3.77 yards after contact (90th percentile), Bijan Robinson rates as one of the most effective running backs in football this year.

Negatives with the New Orleans Saints Game Today

This game will be played in a dome,—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Alvin Kamara has been much less involved in his team’s run game this year (53.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (63.9%).

Alvin Kamara has run for many fewer adjusted yards per game (38.0) this year than he did last year (65.0).

Alvin Kamara’s 3.2 adjusted yards per carry this season represents a significant decline in his rushing skills over last season’s 4.0 mark.

Alvin Kamara comes in as one of the weakest RBs in football at generating extra ground yardage, averaging a mere 2.56 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 15th percentile.

Right now, the least pass-oriented team in football (57.3% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Atlanta Falcons.

Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the New Orleans Saints, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a measly 28.9 per game) this year.

Darnell Mooney has posted many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (26.0) this year than he did last year (58.0).

Darnell Mooney’s 37.3% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a meaningful regression in his pass-catching talent over last year’s 62.7% mark.

Darnell Mooney’s pass-game efficiency has tailed off this season, compiling just 5.22 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 9.31 mark last season.

Kyle Pitts rates as one of the least effective pass-catchers in the NFL among TEs, averaging a mere 6.61 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 19th percentile.

Kyle Pitts’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season marks a noteable regression in his effectiveness in space over last season’s 5.0% mark.

The New Orleans Saints linebackers rank as the 10th-best unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

This year, the strong Saints defense has surrendered a meager 201.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 6th-best in football.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Saints to pass on 53.1% of their chances: the 4th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Falcons defense this year: 4th-fewest in the league.

Chris Olave’s 65.4% Adjusted Completion Rate this year marks a remarkable decline in his receiving ability over last year’s 73.7% rate.

Chris Olave’s 6.7 adjusted yards per target this season illustrates a substantial decline in his receiving ability over last season’s 10.0 mark.

Chris Olave’s skills in grinding out extra yardage have worsened this year, totaling a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.50 mark last year.

Bijan Robinson’s 64.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year indicates a remarkable regression in his running talent over last year’s 81.0 figure.

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