
ATL @ WAS




Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 29th
29/12/24 20:20:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to call the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The 7th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Commanders this year (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).
The predictive model expects Terry McLaurin to accumulate 7.3 targets in this week’s contest, on balance, placing him in the 79th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
With an outstanding 61.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (81st percentile) this year, Terry McLaurin ranks as one of the top WRs in the game in football.
This year, the anemic Falcons pass defense has surrendered a massive 72.9% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the biggest rate in the NFL.
The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to be the 4th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 48.2% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Brian Robinson’s 65.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season marks a noteworthy boost in his running talent over last season’s 47.0 mark.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 4th-highest rate in the NFL versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year (75.0% Adjusted Completion%).
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
The Commanders are a 4-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Commanders to pass on 51.8% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
The Falcons pass defense has been quite strong when opposing WRs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.46 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Atlanta’s safety corps has been phenomenal this year, profiling as the 6th-best in football.
After making up 60.4% of his team’s rushing play calls last season, Brian Robinson has played a smaller part in the run game this season, now accounting for only 49.7%.
The Atlanta defensive tackles profile as the 5th-best collection of DTs in the league this year when it comes to run defense.
The Atlanta Falcons defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.21 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in the league.
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