
ATL @ PHI

Week 2 Predictions for Atlanta Falcons @ Philadelphia Eagles
The matchup between the Atlanta Falcons and the Philadelphia Eagles is set for kickoff on Monday at 8:15 PM ET. The game will take place at Lincoln Financial Field, the Eagles’ home stadium, where the Falcons will be looking to bounce back from an early season loss.
Currently, the Falcons hold a record of 0-1, following a disappointing 18-10 defeat to the Pittsburgh Steelers. This loss was particularly notable as Atlanta entered the game as a 4-point favorite, boasting a 64% chance of winning, only to be upset. Adding to their woes, the Falcons have now lost three consecutive road games.
On the other side, the Eagles boast a record of 1-0 after a thrilling 34-29 victory over the Green Bay Packers. However, they enter this contest having lost their last three games overall, which could indicate a troubling trend for Philadelphia. Notably, the last time these two teams faced off was in Week 1 of the 2021 season, where the Eagles secured a commanding 32-6 road win, marking a significant blowout.
As it stands, oddsmakers favor the Eagles, with a current spread of -5.5 points, which has moved 1.5 points since opening at -4. The odds suggest that the Eagles have a 68% probability of winning the game compared to the Falcons’ 32%. With both teams looking to overcome recent struggles, this matchup promises to be a crucial early-season battle as they each seek to establish momentum.
Statistical Analytical Explanation for our Week 2 Predictions Today
The more carries a player receives, the more opportunities he has to accrue rushing stats., This stat holds extra predictive value because THE BLITZ has adjusted it for context (including opposing defense, weather, down, distance, field position, and more)., This stat holds extra predictive value because THE BLITZ has adjusted it for context (including opposing defense, weather, down, distance, field position, and more)., Teams that run a lot of plays are more capable of hitting Over bets due to the extra volume., Air yards measure how far down the field a player is when the QB throws him the ball. The more air yards, the more opportunity for actual receiving yards and long TDs., THE BLITZ is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like player talent, defense, coaching tendencies, game script, weather, and more.
Our trusted projections expect Bijan Robinson to be a more integral piece of his team’s running game in this game (71.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (43.5% in games he has played)., Bijan Robinson – Over/Under 14.5 Carries (-145/+110), With a terrific total of 278.0 adjusted passing yards per game (97th percentile), Kirk Cousins ranks among the best quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season., Kirk Cousins – Over/Under 224.5 Passing Yards (-110/-110), In putting up a miserable rate of 206.0 adjusted yards per game through the air since the start of last season, the worst passing offense in football has been the Falcons., Atlanta Falcons – Over/Under 45.5 Game Total (-110/-110), Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to see 137.2 offensive plays called: the most among all games this week., Jalen Hurts – Over/Under 30.5 Pass Attempts (-125/-105), Saquon Barkley has put up a monstrous 10.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 100th percentile when it comes to RBs. (This may not seem like very many, but most RBs average negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage)., Saquon Barkley – Over/Under 17.5 Receiving Yards (-111/-109), In this week’s contest, Jalen Hurts is predicted by the projection model to log the most touchdowns on the ground among all QBs with 0.67., Jalen Hurts – Over/Under Rushing Touchdowns, The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.75 Units / 66% ROI), Philadelphia Eagles – Over/Under 27.5 Team Total (+120/-150), Saquon Barkley has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.20 Units / 52% ROI), Saquon Barkley – Over/Under 2.5 Receptions (-136/+113)
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