Panthers vs Falcons Match Player Stats | Week 11 Sunday 2025

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CAR @ ATL

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 11 Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons
Todays Game is on Sunday, November 16th
16/11/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Carolina Panthers Game Today

Our trusted projections expect the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.32 seconds per snap.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The predictive model expects Drake London to accrue 10.0 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 97th percentile among wideouts.

Drake London has been an integral part of his team’s offense, posting a Target Share of 32.2% this year, which ranks him in the 98th percentile among wideouts.

When talking about air yards, Drake London ranks in the towering 92nd percentile among WRs this year, totaling a colossal 100.0 per game.

Kyle Pitts has been used less as a potential target this season (90.8% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (75.7%).

In this week’s game, Kyle Pitts is anticipated by our trusted projection set to place in the 96th percentile among tight ends with 6.8 targets.

The Panthers defense has conceded the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (71.0) versus TEs this year.

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their usual game plan.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Carolina Panthers offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all air attack statistics across the board.

The Falcons cornerbacks rank as the 6th-worst CB corps in football this year in covering receivers.

The predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers to be the 9th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 44.1% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The model projects Rico Dowdle to accrue 19.8 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 99th percentile among RBs.

Our trusted projections expect Rico Dowdle to be much more involved in his team’s rushing attack in this game (70.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (55.3% in games he has played).

With an excellent total of 69.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (94th percentile), Rico Dowdle places as one of the best pure runners in the NFL this year.

Opposing squads have rushed for the 5th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (145 per game) against the Atlanta Falcons defense this year.

The leading projections forecast the Falcons to be the 6th-most run-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 41.4% run rate.

In this week’s contest, Bijan Robinson is forecasted by the predictive model to land in the 93rd percentile among running backs with 18.1 carries.

Bijan Robinson has been given 60.7% of his offense’s run game usage this year, placing him in the 88th percentile among running backs.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Atlanta Falcons ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year.

The Carolina Panthers pass defense has shown weak efficiency this year, allowing 7.95 adjusted yards-per-target: the 8th-most in the league.

The Panthers linebackers project as the 6th-worst group of LBs in football this year in regard to rushing the passer.

Negatives with the Atlanta Falcons Game Today

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Falcons are favored in this week’s game, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their standard game plan.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 56.1% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Drake London’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a significant regression in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last year’s 3.3% figure.

The Carolina Panthers defense has conceded the 10th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 129.0) vs. wide receivers this year.

This year, the imposing Carolina Panthers defense has allowed a meager 62.0% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 9th-lowest rate in the league.

Kyle Pitts’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season shows an impressive decline in his effectiveness in the open field over last season’s 5.0% rate.

The projections expect the Panthers to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 55.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Panthers offense has played at the 7th-slowest tempo in the league (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 29.91 seconds per snap.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Atlanta Falcons, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 27.1 per game) this year.

Bryce Young checks in as one of the worst QBs in the league this year, averaging 166.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 22nd percentile.

With a subpar 6.17 adjusted yards-per-target (18th percentile) this year, Bryce Young rates as one of the least effective quarterbacks in the NFL.

Bijan Robinson’s 60.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season conveys a substantial decrease in his running prowess over last season’s 81.0 rate.

As it relates to the defensive ends’ role in stopping the run, Carolina’s DE corps has been great this year, profiling as the 5th-best in the NFL.

The Falcons defense has yielded the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 117.0) vs. wideouts this year.

The Falcons pass defense has allowed the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (60.4%) to wideouts this year (60.4%).

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