Buccaneers vs Falcons Match Player Stats | Week 1 Sunday 2025

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Buccaneers vs Falcons Match Player Stats | Week 1 Sunday 2025

TB @ ATL

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 7th
07/09/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers Game Today

The leading projections forecast the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive scheme to tilt 1.5% more towards the ground game than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Josh Grizzard now calling the plays.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL last year, averaging a massive 58.9 plays per game.

Last year, the daunting Falcons run defense has conceded a measly 4.81 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing ground game: the 27th-lowest rate in the league.

The Falcons linebackers profile as the 5th-worst collection of LBs in the league last year when it comes to stopping the run.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.8 pass attempts per game versus the Falcons defense last year: 9th-most in football.

Our trusted projections expect Mike Evans to accumulate 9.1 targets in this week’s game, on balance, placing him in the 95th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

With an impressive 73.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (92nd percentile) last year, Mike Evans stands among the top pass-catching wide receivers in the NFL.

The Falcons have run the 9th-most plays in the league last year, totaling a monstrous 59.2 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense last year: most in the league.

Kyle Pitts has run a route on 75.7% of his team’s dropbacks last year, ranking him in the 85th percentile among TEs.

In this contest, Kyle Pitts is anticipated by the projection model to land in the 81st percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.5 targets.

Last year, the feeble Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has surrendered a whopping 244.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing teams: the 4th-most in the NFL.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 6th-highest rate in football vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense last year (73.4% Adjusted Completion%).

The leading projections forecast Drake London to accrue 9.2 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile among WRs.

With an impressive 80.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (97th percentile) last year, Drake London places among the leading WRs in the game in the NFL.

The projections expect the Falcons to be the most run-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 43.1% run rate.

The leading projections forecast Bijan Robinson to accumulate 15.2 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Bijan Robinson has garnered 65.3% of his team’s carries last year, ranking him in the 97th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Bijan Robinson has averaged 81.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground last year, one of the largest figures in the NFL among running backs (96th percentile).

Baker Mayfield has attempted 34.0 passes per game last year, ranking in the 78th percentile when it comes to QBs.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL last year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

Negatives with the Atlanta Falcons Game Today

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 3rd-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Last year, the fierce Falcons pass defense has given up the 3rd-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing WRs: a mere 3.8 YAC.

When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Atlanta’s safety corps has been great last year, grading out as the 7th-best in football.

The leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons to be the least pass-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 56.9% pass rate.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Atlanta Falcons are projected by our trusted projection set to run just 62.2 total plays in this contest: the 6th-lowest number among all teams this week.

With a subpar 65.2% Adjusted Completion Rate (10th percentile) last year, Kyle Pitts rates as one of the most unreliable receivers in the league among TEs.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks rank as the 6th-best group of CBs in the league last year in covering pass-catchers.

The Buccaneers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing WRs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.08 yards-after-the-catch last year: the 7th-fewest in the league.

Last year, the fierce Tampa Bay Buccaneers run defense has given up a measly 100.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 8th-best in the league.

The Atlanta Falcons defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.46 yards-after-the-catch last year: the fewest in football.

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