Falcons vs Panthers Match Player Stats | Week 3 Sunday 2025

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ATL @ CAR

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 3 Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 21st
21/09/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Atlanta Falcons Game Today

With a 5-point advantage, the Falcons are favored in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their normal approach.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons to run on 49.8% of their chances: the 2nd-highest rate on the slate this week.

The 4th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Atlanta Falcons since the start of last season (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).

Bijan Robinson has picked up 81.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in football when it comes to RBs (96th percentile).

Since the start of last season, the weak Panthers run defense has allowed a whopping 186.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the worst in the NFL.

This week’s spread implies a passing game script for the Panthers, who are -5-point underdogs.

With a 64.9% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 10th-most pass-centric offense in football has been the Carolina Panthers.

The Falcons pass defense has surrendered the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (68.2%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (68.2%).

The Falcons pass defense has struggled when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, conceding an average of 5.93 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the most in the league.

Since the start of last season, the anemic Carolina Panthers defense has surrendered a whopping 73.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 4th-largest rate in the NFL.

Since the start of last season, the poor Panthers defense has conceded the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing teams: a whopping 8.34 yards.

As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Carolina’s unit has been dreadful since the start of last season, ranking as the worst in the NFL.

This week, Chuba Hubbard is forecasted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 82nd percentile among RBs with 16.1 carries.

Chuba Hubbard has been given 63.4% of his offense’s rushing play calls this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs.

With an impressive tally of 76.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (94th percentile), Chuba Hubbard places as one of the best running backs in football since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, the stout Atlanta Falcons run defense has conceded a meager 4.73 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing offenses: the 26th-lowest rate in the NFL.

Negatives with the Carolina Panthers Game Today

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 122.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Bijan Robinson has been much less involved in his team’s run game this year (54.8% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (65.3%).

As it relates to the defensive ends’ role in run defense, Carolina’s unit has been fantastic since the start of last season, projecting as the 5th-best in football.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the fewest plays run among all games this week at 122.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Panthers have run the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a measly 55.2 plays per game.

Bryce Young’s throwing accuracy has tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 61.9% to 58.4%.

With a weak 5.69 adjusted yards-per-target (18th percentile) this year, Bryce Young places among the worst per-play passers in the league.

Since the start of last season, the strong Falcons defense has allowed the 6th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing offenses: a feeble 7.4 yards.

Since the start of last season, the formidable Atlanta Falcons pass defense has conceded the 5th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing WRs: a puny 3.5 YAC.

The Falcons linebackers profile as the 8th-best LB corps in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Since the start of last season, the stout Atlanta Falcons defense has surrendered a puny 67.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 3rd-smallest rate in the NFL.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 50.2% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Atlanta’s passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially increased (and rushing stats deflated) considering playing the 3rd-most “low wind” (4-mph or less) games in football. We should be able to expect some correction with windier weather in this week’s contest.

Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 30.6 per game) since the start of last season.

With a 35.1% rate of rushing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 10th-least run-focused offense in the league has been the Carolina Panthers.

Chuba Hubbard’s 3.7 adjusted yards per carry this year marks a remarkable reduction in his rushing skills over last year’s 4.8 mark.

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