
CIN @ LAC






Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, November 17th
17/11/24 20:20:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
The projections expect Chase Brown to accumulate 13.3 rush attempts this week, on balance, putting him in the 76th percentile when it comes to RBs.
The leading projections forecast Chase Brown to be a more integral piece of his team’s ground game this week (62.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (50.0% in games he has played).
Chase Brown has run for significantly more adjusted yards per game (52.0) this year than he did last year (16.0).
Chase Brown’s ground effectiveness has improved this year, averaging 4.40 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to just 3.60 mark last year.
J.K. Dobbins has picked up 73.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest figures in the league among running backs (89th percentile).
The leading projections forecast the Bengals to be the most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 65.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
In this week’s contest, Joe Burrow is predicted by the projections to have the most pass attempts out of all QBs with 38.2.,With a stellar record of 264.0 adjusted passing yards per game (90th percentile), Joe Burrow places among the best quarterbacks in the NFL this year.
Joe Burrow rates as one of the most accurate QBs in the NFL this year with an outstanding 69.7% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 94th percentile.
Our trusted projections expect Ja’Marr Chase to notch 11.0 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 100th percentile when it comes to WRs.
Ja’Marr Chase’s 89.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season shows a significant improvement in his pass-catching skills over last season’s 75.0 figure.
The Chargers pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency versus WRs this year, allowing 8.55 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-most in the NFL.
The Cincinnati Bengals safeties project as the 2nd-worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
The projections expect the Bengals to be the least run-focused team among all teams this week with a 34.2% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see just 124.7 offensive plays run: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.
The Bengals have called the 9th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 55.6 plays per game.
Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being projected in this game) typically prompt increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced run volume.
The opposing side have run for the 8th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 106.0 per game) against the Chargers defense this year.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Chargers are expected by the projection model to run just 62.2 total plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
The 7th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a mere 55.0 per game on average).
The weather report calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
While J.K. Dobbins has accounted for 55.7% of his team’s carries in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much less involved in Los Angeles’s run game this week at 40.0%.
As it relates to the linebackers’ role in stopping the run, Cincinnati’s group of LBs has been fantastic this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.
This year, the fierce Chargers defense has given up the 5th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to the opposing side: a meager 7.2 yards.
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.25 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-fewest in football.
As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles’s unit has been fantastic this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the NFL.
After accruing 89.0 air yards per game last year, Ja’Marr Chase has been a disappointment this year, currently boasting 79.0 per game.
Ja’Marr Chase’s 59.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 69.0.
This year, the tough Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has allowed the 4th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing WRs: a meager 3.4 YAC.
When it comes to pass protection (and the influence it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Los Angeles Chargers ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.
Justin Herbert’s 201.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year represents a remarkable reduction in his passing proficiency over last year’s 248.0 mark.
This year, the imposing Cincinnati Bengals defense has conceded the 8th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing offenses: a measly 4.6 YAC.
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