Giants vs Falcons Match Player Stats | Week 16 Sunday 2024

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Giants vs Falcons Match Player Stats | Week 16 Sunday 2024

NYG @ ATL

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 16 New York Giants at Atlanta Falcons
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 22nd
22/12/24 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Key Match Player Stats to this Game

At the moment, the 7th-fastest paced offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the New York Giants.

The model projects the New York Giants to be the 6th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has allowed the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (72.9%) versus wide receivers this year (72.9%).

At just 27.94 seconds per play, the Atlanta Falcons offense grades out as the 8th-quickest paced in the league (context-neutralized) this year.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

In this game, Drake London is projected by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 85th percentile among wide receivers with 8.1 targets.

Drake London has been a more integral piece of his team’s passing offense this season (28.5% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (23.3%).

Drake London’s 73.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year indicates an impressive improvement in his pass-catching prowess over last year’s 58.0 rate.

The model projects the Falcons as the 5th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 50.1% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Bijan Robinson’s 73.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season signifies a material progression in his running talent over last season’s 50.0 rate.

This year, the porous Giants run defense has yielded a staggering 145.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 2nd-most in football.

In this week’s contest, Kyle Pitts is expected by the projection model to land in the 77th percentile among TEs with 4.2 targets.

Kyle Pitts’s 5.20 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year signifies a meaningful boost in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last year’s 2.5% mark.

The Giants pass defense has been gouged for the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (92.9%) versus TEs this year (92.9%).

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 3rd-highest level in the NFL against the Giants defense this year (75.2% Adjusted Completion%).

As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, New York’s collection of safeties has been awful this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the league.

Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game

The Giants may lean on the pass less in this week’s game (and call more rushes) given that they be forced to utilize backup QB Drew Lock.

At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are enormous underdogs this week, implying much more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.

The model projects the Giants as the 6th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 38.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.

The Atlanta defensive tackles grade out as the 5th-best group of DTs in the league this year with their run defense.

The New York offensive line ranks as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing game stats across the board.

This year, the stout Atlanta Falcons pass defense has given up the 2nd-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing WRs: a mere 3.5 YAC.

As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Atlanta’s safety corps has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 6th-best in the league.

This game’s line indicates an extreme running game script for the Falcons, who are a huge favorite by 8.5 points.

The model projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 5th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 49.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing teams teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Giants, totaling the fewest attempts in football (a lowly 29.1 per game) this year.

The Giants pass defense has performed very well when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.60 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-fewest in the league.

Daniel Bellinger’s ability to grind out extra yardage has diminished this season, averaging a measly 3.36 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 5.28 figure last season.

This year, the formidable Falcons defense has conceded a puny 69.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 4th-smallest rate in football.

When it comes to the defensive tackles’ role in run defense, New York’s collection of DTs has been excellent this year, profiling as the best in football.

After accruing 62.0 air yards per game last season, Kyle Pitts has seen a big decrease this season, now boasting 38.0 per game.

Kyle Pitts’s 33.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 44.8.

The New York Giants defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.40 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-fewest in football.

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