
KC @ ATL







Todays Matchup Details
Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 22nd
22/09/24 20:20:00 PM EST Kickoff
Week 3 Match Players Stats for Kansas City Chiefs @ Atlanta Falcons
The Chiefs are a 3-point favorite in this week’s game, indicating a rushing game script.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.6 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
When it comes to the defensive ends’ role in run defense, Atlanta’s group of DEs has been very bad since the start of last season, projecting as the 9th-worst in football. in football.
This week’s line implies a passing game script for the Falcons, who are -3-point underdogs.
The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to be the 8th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 60.0% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
Drake London has run a route on 90.3% of his team’s dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 88th percentile among wideouts.
With a fantastic record of 250.0 adjusted passing yards per game (90th percentile), Kirk Cousins stands as one of the best QBs in football since the start of last season.
The predictive model expects Samaje Perine to be a more important option in his offense’s running game in this game (27.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (10.0% in games he has played).
Samaje Perine’s rushing efficiency (4.64 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in football last year (80th percentile when it comes to running backs).
The Falcons defensive tackles rank as the 8th-worst group of DTs in football since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.
The predictive model expects the Chiefs to be the most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 63.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast Rashee Rice to garner 9.7 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 98th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
With an outstanding 62.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (89th percentile) since the start of last season, Rashee Rice places as one of the leading WRs in the NFL in football.
The predictive model expects Bijan Robinson to garner 16.9 rush attempts in this week’s game, on balance, placing him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.
While Bijan Robinson has accounted for 44.0% of his team’s run game usage in games he has played since the start of last season, the model projects him to be much more involved in Atlanta’s run game in this week’s contest at 64.6%.
Bijan Robinson has averaged 52.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in the NFL among running backs (78th percentile).
Since the start of last season, the tough Kansas City Chiefs run defense has conceded a meager 4.61 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition’s running game: the 25th-smallest rate in football.
Travis Kelce grades out as one of the leading pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 62.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 99th percentile.
The Atlanta Falcons defense has given up the 5th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (53.0) to TEs since the start of last season.
In this week’s contest, Kyle Pitts is forecasted by the projection model to land in the 95th percentile when it comes to TEs with 6.5 targets.
In this week’s game, Patrick Mahomes is predicted by the model to total the most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 39.2. , Patrick Mahomes is positioned as one of the leading QBs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 260.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 98th percentile.
Match Players Stats Week 3 Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to run on 36.1% of their downs: the lowest clip among all teams this week.
The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.
Opposing offenses teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the Kansas City Chiefs, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 31.6 per game) since the start of last season.
With a poor 2.73 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (17th percentile) since the start of last season, Drake London ranks among the best pass-catching wide receivers in the league in space.
The Chiefs pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (60.7%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (60.7%).
The Chiefs pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency versus WRs since the start of last season, conceding 7.25 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-fewest in the league.
When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Kansas City’s collection of CBs has been exceptional since the start of last season, profiling as the 8th-best in football.
Since the start of last season, the formidable Kansas City Chiefs defense has surrendered a meager 195.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 4th-fewest in the league.
Since the start of last season, the fierce Kansas City Chiefs defense has yielded the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing squads: a puny 7.0 yards.
Since the start of last season, the tough Falcons defense has given up a meager 117.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing WRs: the 4th-best in the NFL.
Since the start of last season, the tough Atlanta Falcons pass defense has conceded the 3rd-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing wideouts: a meager 3.7 YAC.
The Falcons linebackers project as the 10th-best collection of LBs in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to run on 40.0% of their downs: the 8th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has performed very well when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.32 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 6th-fewest in football.
Kyle Pitts has been one of the worst possession receivers in the league among TEs, hauling in just 61.4% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 4th percentile.
With a poor 2.59 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (4th percentile) since the start of last season, Kyle Pitts has been as one of the top pass-catching TEs in the NFL in the open field.
As it relates to defensive tackles rushing the passer, Kansas City’s unit has been one of the most skilled since the start of last season, profiling as the 3rd-best in the league.
Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 6th-fewest yards in football (just 199.0 adjusted yards per game) vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense since the start of last season.
The Atlanta Falcons defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.70 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 2nd-fewest in football.
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