Chiefs vs Jaguars Match Player Stats | Week 5 Monday 2025

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KC @ JAX

Kansas City Chiefs at Jacksonville Jaguars Week 5Chiefs vs JaguarsChiefs vs JaguarsChiefs vs JaguarsChiefs vs JaguarsChiefs vs JaguarsChiefs vs Jaguars

Todays Matchup Details

Week 5 Kansas City Chiefs at Jacksonville Jaguars
Todays Game is on Monday, October 6th
06/10/25 20:15:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Kansas City Chiefs Game Today

The projections expect the Chiefs as the 3rd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to call the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Jaguars defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (40.0 per game) this year.

This week, Travis Kelce is anticipated by the predictive model to rank in the 94th percentile among tight ends with 7.0 targets.

Travis Kelce’s pass-catching efficiency has gotten better this year, accumulating 9.10 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a measly 6.67 figure last year.

The model projects Patrick Mahomes to throw 38.0 passes in this contest, on balance: the 2nd-most out of all quarterbacks.

With a remarkable rate of 247.0 adjusted passing yards per game (88th percentile), Patrick Mahomes ranks among the best QBs in football this year.

Negatives with the Jacksonville Jaguars Game Today

The Chiefs are a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s game, indicating a running game script.

This year, the tough Jacksonville Jaguars defense has allowed a meager 59.5% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 5th-smallest rate in the NFL.

The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has shown good efficiency versus wide receivers this year, surrendering 6.62 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.

When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Jacksonville’s LB corps has been great this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

Travis Kelce has been a much smaller part of his offense’s air attack this year (15.6% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (24.6%).

After totaling 59.0 air yards per game last year, Travis Kelce has seen a big decline this year, currently pacing 28.0 per game.

Travis Kelce has notched significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (45.0) this year than he did last year (55.0).

Travis Kelce’s ability to grind out extra yardage has tailed off this year, totaling just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.53 rate last year.

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 3rd-least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 37.8% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Isiah Pacheco has been much less involved in his team’s rushing attack this season (35.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (50.3%).

Isiah Pacheco’s 30.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year marks a noteworthy drop-off in his rushing prowess over last year’s 45.0 rate.

The opposing side have run for the 3rd-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 79.0 per game) vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year.

When it comes to the safeties’ role in defending against the run, Jacksonville’s unit has been exceptional this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

Patrick Mahomes’s throwing precision has declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 68.3% to 63.3%.

This year, the strong Jacksonville Jaguars defense has surrendered a meager 64.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 3rd-smallest rate in the league.

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