
TEN @ JAX





Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 29th
29/12/24 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
The Jaguars will be forced to utilize backup QB Mac Jones in this week’s contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
In regards to pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Jacksonville Jaguars grades out as the 7th-best in football this year.
The Titans cornerbacks profile as the 5th-worst CB corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
The Tennessee Titans may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more rushes) given that they be forced to use backup QB Mason Rudolph.
Opposing offenses have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game versus the Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
This year, the poor Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been torched for a staggering 281.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing offenses: the most in football.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has shown weak efficiency this year, yielding 8.79 adjusted yards-per-target: the most in the league.
As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Jacksonville’s safety corps has been atrocious this year, profiling as the worst in football.
This year, the shaky Titans defense has yielded the 5th-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a monstrous 4.74 YAC.
Our trusted projections expect Calvin Ridley to garner 7.5 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 81st percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
As it relates to air yards, Calvin Ridley grades out in the towering 99th percentile among WRs this year, totaling a colossal 108.0 per game.
Calvin Ridley’s 67.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in football: 94th percentile for wide receivers.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
The projections expect this game to see the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 126.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the 4th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 54.1 plays per game.
Our trusted projections expect Mac Jones to throw 32.9 passes in this game, on balance: the 9th-fewest out of all QBs.
Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Titans, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.2 per game) this year.
Mac Jones’s 152.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season marks an impressive regression in his passing skills over last season’s 203.0 mark.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Titans to pass on 54.7% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the model to see only 126.5 offensive plays called: the fewest on the slate this week.
In this game, Mason Rudolph is predicted by the projections to wind up with the 7th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 32.4.,When it comes to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Titans ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.
Mason Rudolph’s passing precision has diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 77.4% to 63.0%.
The Tennessee Titans defense has conceded the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 130.0) vs. wideouts this year.
Calvin Ridley has accumulated quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (53.0) this season than he did last season (64.0).
Calvin Ridley’s ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 58.9% to 53.7%.
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