JAX @ LV



Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, November 2nd
02/11/25 16:05:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the Jacksonville Jaguars Game Today
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 61.1% of their plays: the 8th-highest rate among all teams this week.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
Trevor Lawrence has attempted 33.1 throws per game this year, grading out in the 82nd percentile among QBs.
This year, the anemic Las Vegas Raiders defense has conceded a colossal 247.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing offenses: the 8th-most in football.
At a -3-point disadvantage, the Raiders are underdogs in this week’s contest, suggesting more of a reliance on throwing than their usual game plan.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in football.
This year, the poor Jaguars defense has been gouged for a massive 259.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 6th-worst in football.
Negatives with the Las Vegas Raiders Game Today
The Jaguars are a 3-point favorite in this week’s game, likely leading to a running game script.
Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 124.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
With a lackluster 59.2% Adjusted Completion% (9th percentile) this year, Trevor Lawrence places among the least accurate passers in the league.
With a 59.2% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 9th-least pass-centric team in football has been the Las Vegas Raiders.
The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Raiders have run the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 52.1 plays per game.
The predictive model expects Geno Smith to attempt 29.4 passes this week, on average: the 5th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.
Geno Smith has thrown for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (174.0) this season than he did last season (256.0).
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