Panthers vs Jaguars Match Player Stats | Week 1 Sunday 2025

Panthers vs Jaguars Match Player Stats | Week 1 Sunday 2025

CAR @ JAX

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 1 Carolina Panthers at Jacksonville Jaguars
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 7th
07/09/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Carolina Panthers Game Today

The Panthers are a 3-point underdog in this week’s game, likely leading to a passing game script.

The model projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 8th-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.04 seconds per play.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a well-known pass funnel last year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (34.1 per game) last year.

Opposing offenses have thrown for the most adjusted yards in the NFL (253.0 per game) vs. the Jaguars defense last year.

The Jaguars pass defense has shown poor efficiency last year, allowing 8.53 adjusted yards-per-target: the most in the league.

This game’s spread indicates a running game script for the Jaguars, who are favored by 3 points.

Last year, the porous Panthers run defense has surrendered a massive 190.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the most in football.

As it relates to the linebackers’ role in defending against the run, Carolina’s unit has been very bad last year, profiling as the worst in football. in football.

The predictive model expects the Jaguars to be the 6th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 62.1% pass rate.

Our trusted projections expect Brenton Strange to earn 4.9 targets in this week’s game, on balance, putting him in the 84th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Brenton Strange has compiled a staggering 23.0 air yards per game last year: 78th percentile among TEs.

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Jacksonville Jaguars profiles as the 6th-best in the league last year.

Last year, the poor Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has allowed a staggering 78.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 6th-biggest rate in the league.

The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, conceding an average of 5.33 yards-after-the-catch last year: the 7th-most in the NFL.

In this week’s game, Chuba Hubbard is predicted by the predictive model to land in the 93rd percentile among RBs with 16.3 rush attempts.

Chuba Hubbard has averaged 80.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground last year, one of the highest marks in the NFL when it comes to RBs (95th percentile).

Chuba Hubbard’s rushing efficiency (4.79 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL last year (83rd percentile when it comes to running backs).

Last year, the anemic Jacksonville Jaguars run defense has allowed a monstrous 135.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 7th-most in football.

The Jaguars pass defense has displayed bad efficiency vs. wideouts last year, conceding 9.21 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-most in football.

Last year, the weak Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been torched for the most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a staggering 5.59 YAC.

Last year, the porous Panthers defense has been torched for a colossal 73.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 4th-worst rate in football.

The Panthers pass defense has displayed poor efficiency last year, allowing 8.40 adjusted yards-per-target: the 6th-most in the NFL.

Last year, the poor Panthers pass defense has yielded a massive 68.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 7th-highest rate in the NFL.

The Carolina Panthers safeties rank as the 5th-worst unit in the NFL last year in covering pass-catchers.

Negatives with the Jacksonville Jaguars Game Today

The predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers as the 11th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 56.4% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Bryce Young is positioned as one of the worst passers in the NFL last year, averaging 179.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 22nd percentile.

With a subpar 61.9% Adjusted Completion% (15th percentile) last year, Bryce Young ranks among the least on-target passers in the league.

With a weak 6.51 adjusted yards-per-target (21st percentile) last year, Bryce Young places among the worst per-play passers in the NFL.

The Jacksonville Jaguars feature a new play-caller this season in head coach Liam Coen, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 3.2% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

The model projects the Jaguars to be the 6th-least run-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 37.9% run rate.

Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars to call the 11th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Jaguars have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the league last year, totaling a lowly 54.6 plays per game.

Travis Etienne’s ground efficiency (3.73 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL last year (11th percentile when it comes to running backs).

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Panthers defense last year: 9th-fewest in football.

While Chuba Hubbard has been responsible for 71.1% of his offense’s run game usage in games he has played last year, the projections expect him to be a less important option in Carolina’s rushing attack in this week’s contest at 58.5%.

The Jacksonville defensive ends grade out as the 7th-best unit in football last year in regard to stopping the run.

With a poor 61.2% Adjusted Completion% (12th percentile) last year, Trevor Lawrence places as one of the least on-target QBs in the NFL.

The Carolina Panthers pass defense has excelled when opposing WRs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.94 yards-after-the-catch last year: the 6th-fewest in the NFL.

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