
TEN @ WAS






Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 1st
01/12/24 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
A throwing game script is indicated by the Titans being a -5.5-point underdog in this week’s contest.
In this week’s game, Calvin Ridley is predicted by the projection model to slot into the 89th percentile among wide receivers with 8.4 targets.
In regards to air yards, Calvin Ridley ranks in the towering 99th percentile among wideouts this year, accruing an astounding 115.0 per game.
Calvin Ridley’s 70.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 62.3.
The Commanders cornerbacks profile as the 3rd-worst group of CBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
Our trusted projections expect Terry McLaurin to earn 6.9 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
Terry McLaurin has accrued a massive 92.0 air yards per game this year: 94th percentile among WRs.
Terry McLaurin’s 61.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 90th percentile for WRs.
With a remarkable 58.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (82nd percentile) this year, Terry McLaurin ranks as one of the best WRs in the game in the NFL.
Terry McLaurin’s receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 61.1% to 70.9%.
In this contest, Zach Ertz is projected by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 85th percentile among TEs with 6.1 targets.
Zach Ertz has been a big part of his team’s offense, earning a Target Share of 19.9% this year, which puts him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to tight ends.
When talking about air yards, Zach Ertz grades out in the lofty 94th percentile among tight ends this year, accumulating an impressive 45.0 per game.
Zach Ertz has notched significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (40.0) this year than he did last year (27.0).
Zach Ertz’s 75.4% Adjusted Completion% this season marks a meaningful gain in his pass-catching talent over last season’s 63.4% mark.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
With a 5.5-point advantage, the Commanders are favored in this week’s contest, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.
The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 50.1% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Commanders to be the 3rd-most sluggish paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 29.14 seconds per snap.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to pass too much against the Titans, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 29.6 per game) this year.
This year, the daunting Tennessee Titans defense has surrendered a measly 193.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks: the best in the NFL.
Our trusted projections expect the Titans to be the 10th-least pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.7% pass rate.
Our trusted projections expect the Titans to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 29.5 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.
The Tennessee offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Calvin Ridley’s 52.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season indicates a meaningful decline in his receiving proficiency over last season’s 64.0 figure.
This year, the fierce Titans defense has allowed a feeble 122.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing WRs: the best in the league.
This year, the stout Washington Commanders defense has allowed a feeble 209.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing quarterbacks: the 5th-fewest in football.
Zach Ertz comes in as one of the weakest TEs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 2.20 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 6th percentile.
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