
TEN @ MIA







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Monday, September 30th
30/09/24 19:30:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
The Dolphins will be forced to utilize backup QB Tyler Huntley in this week’s contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Miami Dolphins have played in the most “bad weather” (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football since the start of last season, which should mean higher pass volume, lower running volume, and improved passing offense performance when facing improved weather in this week’s contest.
This week, Tyreek Hill is forecasted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 88th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.8 targets.
As it relates to air yards, Tyreek Hill grades out in the lofty 97th percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, averaging a superb 108.0 per game.
With a terrific 99.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Tyreek Hill ranks among the leading WRs in the league in the league.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the highest rate in football versus the Titans defense since the start of last season (72.8% Adjusted Completion%).
The Tennessee cornerbacks project as the 2nd-worst CB corps in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins to run on 47.8% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
In this week’s contest, Devon Achane is anticipated by our trusted projection set to land in the 86th percentile when it comes to running backs with 16.1 carries.
Devon Achane has been a more important option in his offense’s ground game this year (56.8% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (31.2%).
With a terrific rate of 62.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (88th percentile), Devon Achane places as one of the best running backs in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Titans are a 6.5-point underdog in this week’s game, indicating a passing game script.
The projections expect the Titans to be the 4th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Since the start of last season, the porous Miami Dolphins defense has been torched for a colossal 72.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 2nd-worst rate in the NFL.
Since the start of last season, the feeble Miami Dolphins defense has been gouged for the most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing teams: a staggering 7.95 yards.
The Dolphins linebackers grade out as the worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season in defending receivers.
With a remarkable 15.0% Target Share (84th percentile) since the start of last season, Chigoziem Okonkwo has been among the TEs with the biggest workloads in the league.
As it relates to air yards, Chigoziem Okonkwo ranks in the lofty 82nd percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, totaling a massive 29.0 per game.
Chigoziem Okonkwo’s ball-catching skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 71.8% to 100.0%.
Calvin Ridley has run a route on 91.4% of his offense’s dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 91st percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
Calvin Ridley has posted a monstrous 113.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 98th percentile among wide receivers.
With a stellar 61.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (85th percentile) since the start of last season, Calvin Ridley stands among the leading WRs in the NFL in the NFL.
Jonnu Smith has accrued a colossal 24.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 76th percentile when it comes to TEs.
With a terrific 33.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (78th percentile) since the start of last season, Jonnu Smith stands among the top TE receiving threats in football.
Jonnu Smith is positioned as one of the best tight ends in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging an excellent 6.71 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 87th percentile.
Tony Pollard has averaged 60.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in the NFL among RBs (87th percentile).
With a terrific record of 3.64 yards after contact (82nd percentile), Tony Pollard ranks among the powerful running backs in football this year.
The Miami defensive tackles profile as the worst DT corps in football since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
A running game script is indicated by the Dolphins being a 6.5-point favorite in this week’s contest.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dolphins to pass on 52.2% of their chances: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to have just 124.4 plays on offense run: the lowest number on the slate this week.
The Miami Dolphins have run the 10th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 56.5 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game versus the Titans defense since the start of last season: 2nd-fewest in the league.
The Tennessee Titans defense has produced the 5th-best efficiency against opposing running games since the start of last season, conceding just 4.05 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
The leading projections forecast the Titans to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Titans have run the fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 54.3 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.0 pass attempts per game versus the Miami Dolphins defense since the start of last season: fewest in football.
The Tennessee O-line profiles as the worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
The Miami Dolphins pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency vs. tight ends since the start of last season, conceding 7.04 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-fewest in football.
Calvin Ridley’s 49.4% Adjusted Completion Rate this season shows a noteworthy regression in his receiving proficiency over last season’s 58.9% mark.
The leading projections forecast the Titans to be the 4th-least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 37.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Since the start of last season, the feeble Miami Dolphins run defense has been gouged for a massive 4.21 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition’s running game: the 21st-worst rate in the league.
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