PIT @ CIN







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Thursday, October 16th
16/10/25 20:15:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the Pittsburgh Steelers Game Today
In this week’s game, DK Metcalf is predicted by the model to land in the 85th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.5 targets.
DK Metcalf’s 68.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 61.0.
With a fantastic 55.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (88th percentile) this year, DK Metcalf places as one of the best WRs in the game in the league.
DK Metcalf’s 10.4 adjusted yards per target this season signifies a significant progression in his pass-catching prowess over last season’s 8.9 figure.
This year, the shaky Cincinnati Bengals defense has yielded a monstrous 158.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wideouts: the 9th-worst in the league.
The model projects Jaylen Warren to garner 17.7 carries this week, on average, ranking him in the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs.
After comprising 25.6% of his offense’s rushing play calls last season, Jaylen Warren has been more involved in the rushing attack this season, now accounting for 63.5%.
With an excellent tally of 41.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (75th percentile), Jaylen Warren stands as one of the best running backs in the NFL this year.
This year, the poor Bengals run defense has been torched for a massive 140.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 6th-worst in the NFL.
This week, Chase Brown is predicted by the projections to place in the 87th percentile among RBs with 15.6 rush attempts.
Among all RBs, Chase Brown grades out in the 97th percentile for carries this year, comprising 72.7% of the workload in his offense’s rushing attack.
When it comes to the defensive tackles’ role in defending against the run, Pittsburgh’s DT corps has been very bad this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the league. in the league.
The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 66.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast Joe Flacco to throw 38.5 passes in this week’s game, on average: the 2nd-most among all quarterbacks.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (39.2 per game) this year.
Our trusted projections expect Ja’Marr Chase to accumulate 10.6 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile among WRs.
Aaron Rodgers’s 68.7% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a noteworthy progression in his passing accuracy over last year’s 63.8% mark.
This year, the feeble Cincinnati Bengals defense has surrendered a staggering 273.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing offenses: the 2nd-most in the NFL.
This year, the feeble Bengals defense has been gouged for the 5th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing squads: a whopping 8.44 yards.
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers rank as the 3rd-worst group of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
Negatives with the Cincinnati Bengals Game Today
A running game script is suggested by the Steelers being a 5.5-point favorite in this week’s contest.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 49.6 plays per game.
DK Metcalf has posted significantly fewer air yards this season (66.0 per game) than he did last season (99.0 per game).
The Steelers O-line profiles as the 8th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
DK Metcalf’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates a material regression in his effectiveness in the open field over last season’s 3.9% mark.
The Bengals may take to the air less this week (and call more carries) since they be starting backup QB Joe Flacco.
A passing game script is implied by the Bengals being a -5.5-point underdog this week.
Our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to be the least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 34.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Chase Brown has run for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (27.0) this season than he did last season (63.0).
This year, the shaky Steelers run defense has been gouged for a whopping 4.01 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposing ground game: the 25th-worst rate in football.
The model projects the Bengals to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The 3rd-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (just 50.3 per game on average).
When it comes to pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Bengals profiles as the 5th-worst in football this year.
Joe Flacco’s 186.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season signifies a substantial regression in his throwing ability over last season’s 240.0 mark.
Joe Flacco’s 60.2% Adjusted Completion% this season shows a meaningful regression in his passing precision over last season’s 64.4% mark.
Ja’Marr Chase’s 69.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year marks a remarkable diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last year’s 98.0 figure.
Ja’Marr Chase’s 8.7 adjusted yards per target this year signifies a noteworthy reduction in his receiving ability over last year’s 9.7 mark.
Aaron Rodgers’s 165.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year represents a significant reduction in his throwing proficiency over last year’s 237.0 mark.
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