
CAR @ TB






Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 29th
29/12/24 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers profiles as the 4th-best in football this year.
Baker Mayfield has passed for many more adjusted yards per game (271.0) this year than he did last year (231.0).
Baker Mayfield’s 70.5% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a noteworthy progression in his passing precision over last season’s 63.6% mark.
Baker Mayfield’s 8.20 adjusted yards-per-target this year signifies an impressive progression in his passing efficiency over last year’s 6.9% mark.
This year, the poor Panthers defense has been torched for a staggering 73.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 5th-worst rate in the league.
An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Panthers being a huge -8-point underdog in this week’s game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 40.4 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense this year: most in the league.
This year, the anemic Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has surrendered a massive 258.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing QBs: the 4th-most in the NFL.
The projections expect Mike Evans to notch 7.8 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 84th percentile among wideouts.
Mike Evans ranks in the 97th percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) with an impressive 68.8 figure this year.
Mike Evans ranks as one of the top wide receivers in the game this year, averaging a terrific 70.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 90th percentile.
Mike Evans’s 67.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this year illustrates a noteworthy progression in his pass-catching talent over last year’s 61.1% mark.
Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers to be the 9th-most run-focused team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 41.1% run rate.
The predictive model expects Chuba Hubbard to garner 20.3 rush attempts in this week’s game, on balance, placing him in the 98th percentile among RBs.
After making up 52.0% of his team’s carries last season, Chuba Hubbard has been more involved in the running game this season, now accounting for 71.0%.
Chuba Hubbard has run for significantly more adjusted yards per game (74.0) this season than he did last season (53.0).
This year, the imposing Buccaneers run defense has conceded a mere 4.72 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition’s rushing attack: the 25th-best rate in the NFL.
The projections expect the Buccaneers as the 9th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 45.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The opposing side have rushed for the most adjusted yards in the NFL (185 per game) versus the Carolina Panthers defense this year.
The Carolina Panthers linebackers project as the worst collection of LBs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
An extreme running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being an enormous 8-point favorite in this week’s game.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 54.9% of their downs: the 9th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects the Buccaneers to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.0 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The projections expect Baker Mayfield to throw 32.9 passes in this week’s game, on balance: the 10th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game versus the Panthers defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.
Right now, the 9th-least pass-heavy team in football (58.9% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Panthers.
Our trusted projections expect the Panthers to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.8 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Panthers have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 54.4 plays per game.
With an atrocious rate of 169.0 adjusted passing yards per game (24th percentile), Bryce Young stands among the weakest QBs in the league this year.
Bryce Young comes in as one of the least on-target quarterbacks in football this year with a 61.6% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 15th percentile.
Mike Evans has accrued significantly fewer air yards this season (89.0 per game) than he did last season (118.0 per game).
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