CIN @ PIT







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, November 16th
16/11/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the Cincinnati Bengals Game Today
The Steelers are a 5.5-point favorite in this week’s game, likely creating a rushing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers to call the 3rd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.4 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The leading projections forecast Jaylen Warren to earn 20.0 carries in this week’s game, on balance, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Jaylen Warren has rushed for many more adjusted yards per game (54.0) this season than he did last season (33.0).
This year, the feeble Bengals run defense has allowed a monstrous 171.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the worst in the NFL.
The Bengals will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week’s contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
A throwing game script is suggested by the Bengals being a -5.5-point underdog this week.
The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 68.1% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to have 132.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.
Opposing offenses have averaged 40.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Steelers defense this year: most in the league.
In this week’s game, Aaron Rodgers is projected by the model to average the 7th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 36.0.,Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 10th-most in football.
As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Steelers ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL this year.
Aaron Rodgers’s throwing accuracy has gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 63.8% to 67.1%.
DK Metcalf has run a route on 93.4% of his team’s dropbacks this year, putting him in the 90th percentile among WRs.
The predictive model expects DK Metcalf to notch 7.2 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 82nd percentile among WRs.
Negatives with the Pittsburgh Steelers Game Today
The 2nd-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (just 50.2 per game on average).
The Cincinnati Bengals have run the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 53.1 plays per game.
The Cincinnati offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
Ja’Marr Chase’s 86.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year conveys a remarkable drop-off in his receiving talent over last year’s 98.0 figure.
Ja’Marr Chase’s sure-handedness have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 74.8% to 71.7%.
Ja’Marr Chase’s pass-catching efficiency has worsened this season, compiling a mere 8.07 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.73 figure last season.
Joe Flacco grades out as one of the least on-target passers in football this year with a 61.7% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 24th percentile.
With a subpar 6.44 adjusted yards-per-target (24th percentile) this year, Joe Flacco ranks among the worst per-play quarterbacks in the NFL.
The Pittsburgh Steelers cornerbacks grade out as the 10th-best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
Aaron Rodgers’s 184.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season signifies a noteworthy decrease in his passing ability over last season’s 237.0 rate.
DK Metcalf has totaled far fewer air yards this year (74.0 per game) than he did last year (99.0 per game).
DK Metcalf has notched significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (51.0) this year than he did last year (64.0).
DK Metcalf profiles as one of the worst possession receivers in football, catching a measly 58.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 23rd percentile among wideouts,Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to run on 31.9% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
Chase Brown’s 41.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year indicates an impressive regression in his running ability over last year’s 63.0 rate.
This year, the deficient Pittsburgh Steelers run defense has been torched for a massive 4.16 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition’s run game: the 25th-worst rate in the league.
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